Tharman 中美脱钩将让位于一个“极其危险”的世界

尚达曼：中美脱钩将让位于一个“极其危险”的世界

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/china-us-decoupling-will-give-way-to-a-profoundly-dangerous-world-tharman?

By  Ovais Subhani 高级记者 2022 年 11 月 16 日

尚达曼表示，缓和中美之间的紧张局势，可能无法确保持久和平，但会让世界变得更加安全。
 

新加坡 — — 尚达曼表示，中美之间的无摩擦关系可能是不可能的，但这并不一定会导致世界经济分裂为两个互不相干的阵营。

周二，他在新加坡嘉佩乐酒店举行的 2022 年彭博新经济论坛上发表讲话时补充道：“想象一个中国和美国在贸易、投资、数据、支付、金融体系、知识产权创造方面脱钩的世界。 那将是一个极其危险的世界。”

“多极世界永远不会一帆风顺。 但这比脱钩的世界安全得多，”他说。

在他发表上述言论之前，美国总统乔·拜登和中国国家主席习近平周一在印度尼西亚巴厘岛举行了自拜登近两年前上任以来的首次面对面会晤。 双方同意在气候变化、粮食安全等问题上恢复合作。

在巴厘岛二十国集团峰会会谈后，中国外交部长王毅表示，双方“希望阻止双边关系的下滑，稳定关系”。

近年来，中美关系恶化，从 2018 年开始针锋相对的进口关税，以及最近美国禁止某些先进半导体技术出口。

尚达曼表示，中美之间紧张局势的缓和可能无法确保持久和平，但会让世界变得更加安全。
“我认为有一条前进的道路。 我们还没有到达悬崖，”他补充道。

“我们必须从根本上通过不确定性的视角来看待世界，预计事情的发展可能与我们希望的完全不同，不要只押注于好的一面，不要押注于我们希望看到的东西，预测 可能会出现什么问题，做好准备，并尽力防止出现问题。”

他表示希望拜登与习近平的会晤将在帮助全球经济应对多重挑战和威胁方面发挥重要作用，包括从Covid-19大流行中复苏、可能导致衰退的高通胀和气候变化。

他表示，世界需要持续、大规模的投资，以确保能源和粮食安全以及向绿色经济转型。

“所需的投资规模只能通过公私合作伙伴关系来实现，”他指出。

第五届年度彭博新经济论坛将于 11 月 15 日至 17 日周二至周四举行，预计将吸引来自 53 个国家的 500 多名企业高管和政策制定者参加。

China-US decoupling will give way to a 'profoundly dangerous' world: Tharman

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/china-us-decoupling-will-give-way-to-a-profoundly-dangerous-world-tharman?

Senior Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam said easing tensions between China and the United States may not assure lasting peace, but it will make the world a safer place. ST PHOTO: FELINE LIM

 Ovais Subhani Senior Correspondent   NOV 16, 2022

 

SINGAPORE – Frictionless relations between China and the United States are probably not possible, but that should not necessarily lead to the division of the world economy into two disengaged camps, said Senior Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

Speaking at the 2022 Bloomberg New Economy Forum at the Capella Singapore on Tuesday, he added: “Imagine a world where China and the US are decoupled in trade, in investments, data, payments, financial systems, intellectual property creation. That would be a profoundly dangerous world.”

“A multipolar world was never going to be frictionless. But it is much safer than a world that is decoupled,” he said.

His comments followed the first in-person meeting on Monday in Bali, Indonesia, between United States President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping since Mr Biden took office almost two years ago. Both sides agreed to resume cooperation on issues including climate change and food security.

After the talks at the Group of 20 summit in Bali, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said both sides “hope to stop the tumbling of bilateral ties and to stabilise the relationship”.

China-US relations have soured in recent years, starting in 2018 with tit-for-tat import tariffs and, more recently, a US ban on exports of certain advanced semiconductor technologies.

Mr Tharman said easing tensions between China and the US may not assure lasting peace, but it will make the world a safer place.

“I think there is a way forward. We haven’t reached the precipice yet,” he added.

“We have to look at the world fundamentally through the lens of uncertainty, expect that things may pan out very differently from what we hope for and don’t just bet on the upside, don’t bet on what we hope to see, anticipate what can go wrong, prepare for it, and try to prevent things from going wrong.” 

He expressed the hope that the Biden-Xi meeting will go a long way in helping the global economy confront multiple challenges and threats, including recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, high inflation that may lead to recession and climate change.

He said the world needs sustained, large-scale investments to ensure energy and food security and transition to a green economy.

“The scale of investment required is one that can only be delivered through public-private partnerships,” he noted.

The fifth annual Bloomberg New Economy Forum, held from Tuesdsay to Thursday, Nov 15 to 17, is likely to attract more than 500 top company executives and policymakers from 53 countries.