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股市打脸

(2025-10-25 08:19:50) 下一个

股市真是打脸啊。那几天市场风声鹤唳,纳指暴跌800点、币圈崩盘,川普一句 100%关税 , 直接砸穿市场情绪。

那几天我也只能转入防守。

清掉了 ARKK(90卖出,83买回一半),HOOD 全部清仓(135 卖出,没有买回,昨天138,前天还120)。同时卖出 FIG、CRWV 的 put,趁机在低位35 加仓了 INTC 的正股和 LEAP,214 买了亚马逊(AMZN),244 买了谷歌(GOOGL)。

不过大部分股票没有动:我的 QQQ 一股也没卖,核心仓依然坚定拿着。

MSTR 幸亏跑了,至今还没回到 300。关闭了 卖的MSTR 的 300 put,少赚了一些,但至少安心。昨天coin300 put,特斯拉400 put交割收了全款。

结果市场又反弹。

算下来,比不动稍微好一点,也算抄了点底。

ARKK 捡了个便宜,INTC 表现不错,又有一些put 慢慢吃权利金。

好处是,风险小了一点,多了笑看回调的心态。

即使哪天真的崩盘,有抄底的资金。

坏处嘛,今年波段操作下来交税要交到手软。 

这些收益都是已经兑现的,下半年争取别再卖太多了,争取少交税:但说到底,也由不得我。

市场就是这样:想动不敢动,想不动又被逼着动。

回头看,总是 Vision 2020。

交税归交税,总比亏本金强。

更何况,账户又创了新高。 

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dep_blue 回复 悄悄话 Thanks for sharing, great returns! It seems that many people are very interested in knowing your trading capital and net worth. I’d like to take a bold guess: it appears you have about $50–80 million in individual stocks, with the rest in ETFs. Your net worth could be in the range of $200–300 million. What an incredible accomplishment! We’ve benefited quite a bit from your real stories.

Your explanation of option pricing was excellent. You’ve clearly mastered the key points of options in such a short time. However, the Black-Scholes model wasn’t first invented or used by those three; it was actually discovered and used earlier by Edward O. Thorp. Since Professor Thorp applied it in trading and didn’t publish his findings, he missed the Nobel Prize that went instead to Myron Scholes and Robert C. Merton.

Dr. Thorp has written several famous books, such as Beat the Dealer and Beat the Market. I’m quite sure you’ve read them before. Keep up your great writing so we can continue benefiting from your generosity.
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