风萧萧_Frank
以文会友
2024-12-12 耶伦离任前谈中美沟通的重要性和关税
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa-AGtvtzE0
支持这些这些行业，但广泛的关税，几乎所有的经济学家都同意，通过提高价格来伤害我们自己。让我把话题转到中国，这是一种关系，我认为你已经投入了大量的时间和精力来重建华盛顿和北京之间的沟通渠道。
现在你的代表们正在前往中国与他们的同行举行会议。据报道，会议也在南非举行。嗯，有人担心，如果这种关系，美中关系回到你四年前上任时的状态，会发生什么？这有多让你担心？如果你为恢复这种关系所做的努力付诸东流，后果会是什么？
所以我认为重要的是，要与各个层面保持持续沟通，从美国高级官员到需要沟通的工作人员，只要有开放的沟通渠道，就很有价值，我相信这将被视为继续提供价值，通过这些渠道，我们可以明确表达我们对什么不满，我们的担忧在哪里，以及我们为什么有这些担忧，我们对俄罗斯的经济政策有重大担忧，我们在这些渠道中讨论了这些政策，我们也分享了全球利益，无论是在气候变化、抗击流行病、应对可能影响全球金融市场的潜在金融混乱方面，我们也在利用这些渠道建立对合作渠道的信任，以便我们可以在利益一致的地方共同努力，所以毫无疑问，无论是从国家安全的角度，还是从更广泛的经济角度，我们对中国的行为都有严重的担忧，但尽管如此，中国仍然是世界上最大的两个经济体世界
保持开放的沟通渠道至关重要，这有助于避免误解。
当我们采取行动时，例如出口管制或我们最近的对外投资限制，我们已经建立了这些渠道来解释我们试图实现的目标，以避免误解不必要地恶化关系，你对是什么让你的对手感到满意有特别的见解。我想通过你进行的那些对话。我们已经看到当选总统谈到了大规模的普遍惩罚性关税
你是否知道如果他们受到这样的威胁，他们会如何回应
我真的不想举杯庆祝
我的许多国家在面对这种单方面行动时
寻找报复的方法
我猜他们会这样做
我们在令人担忧的领域
我曾多次表达对产能过剩的担忧在中国先进制造业和清洁能源半导体等行业，我们认为这反映了积极的大量补贴，这些补贴正充斥着世界出口，并威胁着将我们的公司赶出我们认为对我们未来至关重要的领域，我们现在实施了关税，它们是战略性的，它们影响了价值 80 亿美元的贸易，当然不是我们与中国的所有贸易，我们这样做是为了确保中国的行动不会破坏我们自己支持这些行业的计划，但广泛的关税，几乎所有经济学家都同意，他们会通过大幅提高价格来伤害我们，并使需要中国投入的企业获得这些投入的成本更高，从而损害我们依赖这些进口的企业的竞争力，所以我们采取了一种战略方针，重点关注狭窄的领域和广泛的领域，我有大多数经济学家对
[音乐] 表示严重关切
2024-12-12 耶伦离任前谈中美沟通的重要性和关税
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa-AGtvtzE0
support these these sectors but broad-based tariffs almost all economists agree that what they will do is hurt us by raising prices Poss
let me pivot to China and this has been
a relationship I think you've invested a
lot of time and energy in of rebuilding
a conduit of communication between
Washington and Beijing you have deputies
right now heading to China for meetings
with their counterparts meetings taking
place in South Africa as well reportedly
um there is concern about what would
happen if that relationship the US China
relationship were to return to the place
it was in when you took office now four
years ago how much does that concern you
and what would the consequences of that
be if if the efforts that you've put in
to rehabilitate that relationship go to
the Wayside so I do think it's important
to have ongoing um Communications at all
levels um from to senior us officials to
uh staff that need to communicate just
having open channels of communication is
valuable and um I believe it will be
seen as continuing to offer value
these are channels by which we can make
clear what we're unhappy about um where
our concerns are and why we have them um
well we have significant concerns about
um Russia's economic policies um that we
discuss in these channels it's also the
case that we we have shared Global
interests whether it's in um climate
change combating pandemics dealing with
potential Financial disruptions that
could affect um Global Financial markets
we're also using these channels to um
build trust in channels for cooperation
so that we can work together where our
interests coincide so there's no
question that we have serious concerns
both from a national security point of
view and a broader economic view with
China's Behavior but nevertheless is the
two largest economies um in the world
it's critical to have open channels of
communication it helps avoid
misunderstandings we've Ed these
channels um when we've taken action like
export controls or our recent outbound
investment restrictions to explain what
we're trying to accomplish to um avoid
Mis
understandings that can worsen the
relationship needlessly you have a
particular insight into what makes your
counterparts tick I imagine through
those conversations that that you've had
and so we've seen the president-elect
talk about large Universal punitive
tariffs do you have any insight into how
they might respond if they are
threatened with something like that well
I really don't want to make a forast my
my many countries when they're faced
with um unilateral actions of that sort
um look for ways to retaliate and my
guess would be that they would do that
um we have in areas of concern where I
I've expressed repeatedly concerns with
overcapacity that is developed in
Chinese Advanced manufacturing
Industries and clean energy
semiconductors and the like um we think
it reflects active large subsidies that
are flooding the world with exports and
threaten to drive our firms out of
business in areas that we think are
critical to our own future um we've put
in place tariffs now it's they're
strategic uh they affected $8 billion
worth of trade certainly not all of our
trade with China and um we we did it to
make sure that China's actions don't
undermine our own uh plans to support
these uh these sectors but broad-based
tariffs um almost all economists agree
that what they will do is hurt us by
raising prices possibly substantially
and making it more expensive for firms
that need inputs from China to be able
to acquire them and harm our compe
iveness of firms that rely on those
Imports so we've taken a strategic
approach um focusing narrowly and a
broad-based approach um I have serious
concerns with as most Economist to for
