40倍收益：黑天鹅理论作者最挑战思维的十个引用警句

新冠病毒又把 Nassim Taleb 请回人们的视线了！

这位黑天鹅理论的发明者，这次因为病毒这个黑天鹅的出现在华尔街斩获了40X收益！

以下是他最喜欢引用的十个警句：

1.  Wind extinguishes a candle, but energizes a fire

  Source: Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder

2.  You need a story to displace a story

  Source: The Blackswan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

3.  Courage is the only virtue you cannot fake

  Source: Skin in the Game: The Hidden Asymmertries in Daily Life

4.  The difference between successful people and really successful people is that really successful people say no to almost everything

  S: Same as in 3

5.  Those who talk should do and only those who do should talk

  S: Same as in 3

6.  A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in light of the information available until that point

  S: Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

7.  More data --- such as paying attention to the colors of the people around when crossing the street --- can make you miss the big truck

  S: Same as in 1

8.  Difficulty is what wakes up the genius

  S: Same as in 1

9.  A prophet is not someone with special visions, just someone blind to most of what other people see

  S: The Bed of Procrusters: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

10.  It is my great hope someday, to see science and decision makers rediscover what the ancients have always known.  Namely that our highest currency is respect

  S: Same as in 2.

 

每个source 都是文章或书籍

原文：

https://markets.businessinsider.com/amp/news/nassim-taleb-best-quotes-most-thought-provoking-hedge-fund-return-2020-5-1029182885