查理.芒格的4 个检查清单

These are his indispensible tools for __decision making and problem solving_

The Two-track Analysis (Pages 63,64)

• What are the factors that really govern the interests involved, reationally considered? (e.g., macro and micro-level economic factors).
• What are the subconscious influences, where the brain at a subconscious level is automatically forming conclusions? (influences from instincts, emotions, cravings, and so on).

Investing and Decision Making (Pages 64-76)

Charlie's informal., but extensive, list of factors worthy of consideration:

http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/60957/201807/4724.html

Ultra-simple, General Problem-Solving Notions (Pages 279-281)

• Decide the big "no-brainer" questions first.
• Apply numerical fluency (use numerical analysis to support your points).
• Invert (think the problem through in reverse).
• Apply elementary multidisciplinary wisdom, never relying entirely on others.
• Watch for combinations of factors --- the Lollapalooza effect.

Psychology-Based Tendencies (Pages 440-498)

• The 25 Standard Causes of Human Misjudgement (中英文对照）：
  • 一、奖励和惩罚 超级反应倾向
    二、喜欢/热爱倾向
    三、讨厌/憎恨倾向
    四、避免怀疑倾向
    五、避免不一致性倾向
    六、好奇心倾向
    七、康德式公平倾向
    八、艳羡/妒忌倾向
    九、回馈倾向
    十、受简单联想影响的倾向
    十一、简单的、避免痛苦的心理否认
    十二、自视过高的倾向
    十三、过度乐观倾向
    十四、被剥夺超级反应倾向
    十五、社会认同倾向
    十六、对比错误反应倾向
    十七、压力影响倾向
    十八、错误衡量易得性倾向
    十九、不用就忘倾向
    二十、化学物质错误影响倾向
    二十一、衰老—错误影响倾向
    二十二、权威—错误影响倾向
    二十三、废话倾向
    二十四、重视理由倾向
    二十五、lollapalooza 倾向——数种心理倾
    向共同作用造成极端后果的倾向
  • (以下的1-25 顺序应该反过来。这烂编辑软件！）
  1. Lollapalooza Tendency --- The Tendency to Get Extreme Consequences from Confluences of Psychological Tendencies Acting in Favor of a Particular Outcome
  2. Reason-Respecting Tendency
  3. Twaddle Tendency
  4. Authority-Misinfluence Tendency
  5. Senescene-Misinfluence Tendency
  6. Drug-Misinfluence Tendency
  7. Use-It-or-Lose-It Tendency
  8. Availability-Misweighing Tendency
  9. Stress-Influence Tendency
  10. Contrast-Misreaction Tendency
  11. Social-Proof Tendency
  12. Deprival-Superreaction Tendency
  13. Overoptimism Tendency
  14. Execessive Self-Regard Tendency
  15. Simple, Pain-Avoiding Psychological Denial
  16. Influence-from-Mere-Association Tendency
  17. Reciprocation Tendency
  18. Envy/Jeasousy Tendency
  19. Kantian Fairness Tendency
  20. Curiosity Tendency
  21. Inconsistency-Avoidance Tendency
  22. Doubt-Avoidance Tendency
  23. Disliking/Hating Tendency
  24. Liking/Loving Tendency
  25. Reward and Punishment Superresponse Tendency

 

 

Note:

From the book , Expanded 3rd Edition