2006/10/18 市场评论

2006/10/18 市场评论

指数在这个位置可能会盘整一段时间。目前是宽幅震荡，以下几个交易日可能都是宽幅震荡，周五OE还会有一些变数，特别是GOOG 明天盘后出ER。NDX今天下探1695有支撑，即使下跌空间也不大，1680应为强支撑。依然维持强势的Naz领涨股有MSFT/SBUX/ORCL.

今天INTC ER后虽然涨了，但高开低走，并没有把Naz盘子带起来。JPM猛跌，开盘带领C/BAC下跌，但C/BAC随即止跌，由于IBM的跳空高开，指数全天处于拉锯状态。在目前这个高位宽幅震荡会使短线换手增加，造成成交量放大。

INTC没把Naz盘子带起来，NDX也比Naz弱，这波启动后，这是第一次出现。但SP500,依然强劲。JPM掉了一块多，但SP500还是创了新高，C/BAC随后拉了起来。至少到明天不会大跌，不会给熊方出逃的机会。

再次像样走高可能会是MSFT ER后，差不多是这波的尾声了。然后应会有一个像样的回调。 SP500的支撑依次是1350，1340，1330，1310，1290。

昨天10/17：
 
MSFT/GOOG/CSCO are very drop-proof.

YHOO gets strong support. $25 call might be the best choice since it's going to have ER today.

INTC it's still above $20.75 support even with a downgrade and big volume so far today.

Financial sector in SP500 is very strong. It dropped a lot yesterday while index was up. JPM/C/BAC look very good.

With today's good correction, OE day may be expected as a good day.

QQQQ may be subject to drop a little more. Might not a good entry point now.

Till yesterday, many shorts were forced to cover. With today's good correction, the next several days may look like rebounce to attract bears. Be careful, in a bull market, one is supposed to long. Don't be scared by the correction. It's health!