狮山巡礼
投资杂谈
博文
(2025-11-20 19:18:27)
ImnotsurprisedbythevolatilityinmarketsastheyadjusttothepaceofAIadoption,butIamexcitedaboutthistechnologyspotentialtocreatesignificantproductivitygains.
Megacaptechcompaniesaredevotingmoreoftheircashflowstoinvestinginthistechnology,butthesearehuge,diversifiedcompanieswithenormousbalancesheetcapacity.Moreriskcapitalhasbeendeployedinnewertechcompanies,someofwhichwillultimatelyfail,butotherswillgro...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 19:16:09)
FromtheBloombergarticleonhowOracleCorp.,theoncestodgydatabasegiantthatsborrowedtensofbillionsandtethereditsfortunestotheartificialintelligenceboom,isquicklyemergingasthecreditmarketsbarometerforAIriskandhowitsCDS(chartbelow)hasbecomethemarketspreferredwaytohedgeandbetagainsttheAIboom [阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 14:40:05)
首先说结论，分析师认为，目前英伟达(NVDA)的估值并未处于泡沫水平，市场已经反映了其良好的执行力以及未来几年的部分增长预期。
在英伟达发布财报前不久，Polymarket数据显示，英伟达季度业绩超出预期的概率高达93%。
我相信，市场多数参与者早已预期到营收和每股收益（EPS）双双超预期。 但就分析师个人而言，之前仍不确定英伟达股价在财报发布后的表现（[阅读全文]
我相信，市场多数参与者早已预期到营收和每股收益（EPS）双双超预期。 但就分析师个人而言，之前仍不确定英伟达股价在财报发布后的表现（[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 14:10:52)
OneEarningsReportCantErasetheStockMarketsAIBubbleConcernsDontfighttheFedisafinancialmarketshibbolethmostinvestorslearnataveryearlystageintheircareer.
Thecentralbankmightbewronginitsassessmentofinflationpressuresandthejobmarket,butitmakestherulesnonetheless.Pushagainstitatyourperil.Nvidia
NVDA
-3.15%
seemstooccupyasimilarspaceinthefinancialmarketsthesedays.Astheworldsmost-valuablecom...[阅读全文]
NVDA
-3.15%
seemstooccupyasimilarspaceinthefinancialmarketsthesedays.Astheworldsmost-valuablecom...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 14:09:36)
TheStockMarketsFearGaugeIsStartingtoFlashThestockmarketsfeargaugespikedtoitshighestlevelsinamonth.
TheCBOEVolatilityIndex,orVIX,surgedashighas28.27onThursday,whichwasitshighestintradaylevelsinceOct.17.Itlaterpulledbackto26.05.
TheVIXmeasuresimpliedvolatilityinthemonthaheadintheSP500.Areadingaround20isconsiderednormalvolatility,sothefurthertheVIXrises,themorethingsstarttosignalheightene...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 13:53:53)
NasdaqSinks2.2%asNvidiaBumpEvaporatesAnearlystockmarketrallyfueledbyNvidiasearningsturnedouttobeamirageonThursday.
TheNasdaqCompositesank2.2%.TheSP500fell1.6%.TheDowJonesIndustrialAveragedropped386points,or0.8%.
Atonepoint,theNasdaqwasup2.6%,whiletheSPwasup1.9%andtheDowwasup1.6%;allthreeindexesmarkedtheirlargestreversalfromanintradayhightonegativeterritorysinceApril8,accordingtoDowJonesMar...[阅读全文]
TheNasdaqCompositesank2.2%.TheSP500fell1.6%.TheDowJonesIndustrialAveragedropped386points,or0.8%.
Atonepoint,theNasdaqwasup2.6%,whiletheSPwasup1.9%andtheDowwasup1.6%;allthreeindexesmarkedtheirlargestreversalfromanintradayhightonegativeterritorysinceApril8,accordingtoDowJonesMar...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 09:20:08)
FedlikelytonotcutratesinDecemberfollowingdelayedSeptemberdata,accordingtomarketodds
OddsofaDecemberratecutremainedlowfollowingthereleaseofdelayedjobsdata. Marketswerelastpricingabouta35%chanceofaquarter-pointcutfromtheFederalReservenextmonth,accordingtotheCMEFedWatchTool.Thatishigherthanthe30%likelihoodpricedinduringthepriorsession,butremainsweak.Thetoolusedfedfundsfuturestradingtocalculate...[阅读全文]
OddsofaDecemberratecutremainedlowfollowingthereleaseofdelayedjobsdata. Marketswerelastpricingabouta35%chanceofaquarter-pointcutfromtheFederalReservenextmonth,accordingtotheCMEFedWatchTool.Thatishigherthanthe30%likelihoodpricedinduringthepriorsession,butremainsweak.Thetoolusedfedfundsfuturestradingtocalculate...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 03:27:36)
当地时间11月18日晚，白宫东厅灯火通明。美国总统特朗普为到访的沙特王储穆罕默德本萨勒曼设宴，席间除传统政界高官，还多了几张科技圈面孔。其中最抢眼的就是埃隆马斯克，此外还有英伟达掌门人黄仁勋、苹果CEO库克、亚马逊总裁贝佐斯等。对外界来说，这不只是一次外交礼节性晚宴，更像是一次关于人工智能、芯片和中东算力布局的同框宣示。
几个月前，马斯克刚[阅读全文]
(2025-11-19 20:49:40)
(2025-11-19 19:20:47)
在投资者持续担心企业的人工智能（AI）领域超高投入难以为继之际，AI芯片龙头英伟达送来惊喜：上一财季营收加快增长，增速重回60%以上，和数据中心的收入均创单季新高，体现AI基础设施需求持续强劲，本财季的营收料将保持60%以上的增速，再度超出华尔街预期。 英伟达CEO黄仁勋在财报公告中表示，公司最新一代Blackwell架构的芯片销量远超预期，云端GPU已售罄，训练和[阅读全文]
