ROBCARRICKSaturday,March3,2007Thecommonwisdomoninvestingriskisthatthingsgodownaswellasup,butinthelongrunyouwin.Ifyou'rehappywiththatlevelofunderstandingaboutthehazardsofbeinginthestockmarket,that'sfine.Butifyou'vewatchedthemarketgyrationsofthepastweekandwanttoknowmoreaboutthepotentialdangerspotsinyourportfolio,thenreadonbecausethiseditionofthePortfolioStrategycolumnisallaboutrisk.We'llrunsomeriskd...[
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1.一个具有较大成交量的向下跳空,被一个较小成交量填补,将成为阻力区;
2.一个具有较大成交量向上跳空,被一个较小成交量填补,将成为支持区;
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1.大盘(TSX):收:13095,涨61(0.47%).
今日两次测试:13100会落.成当日M头部.近两天成交量均小于均量.反弹力度有限,反映投资者谨慎从事.
2.石油(WTIC),收61.81.仍收在短期趋势线上.阻力:62,支持:59.5.若跌破59.5,则短期趋势线破坏.
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今天,黄金继续上涨,GLD如期到达设置的目标64.95.获利了结.不计手续费,获利3.21%.[
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![](http://i15.tinypic.com/317go7o.jpg)
前几天,石油,黄金极其相关的商品期指(CCI,CRB)均跌破上升趋势线,发出卖出信号.这两天,石油,黄金极其相关的商品期指有出现反弹,其中石油和商品期指又重回上升趋势线,刚好CLOSE在趋势线上.见下图:
先考察石油图:
1.石油去年9月直到年底有一个近四个月的箱型盘整理区:58~64.然后跌坡整理区;快速下跌到52.触底反弹;
2.自今年一月中,石油开始上行,形成一契型上升形态,并突[
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![](http://i18.tinypic.com/44kgr36.jpg)
今日,因石油重上上升通道,TSX出现第二天反弹.是买入机会来了吗?
试图分析一下,下图是TSX在11:00AM的日线图:
图中几个观察如下:
1.TSX在2月28日出现大幅度SELL-OFF,跌坡短期上升趋势线(S2);
2.再接下来的三天中,TSX再次跌破中期(1~6个月)上升趋势线(S1)和水平支持线(R,后成为现在的阻力线);是非常看熊的形式;
3.TSX在这两天反弹,上行的阻力是13000(R).
由于TSX逼近阻力,现在[
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ByCraigTorres
March6(Bloomberg)--FormerFederalReserveChairmanAlanGreenspansaidthere'sa``one-thirdprobability''ofaU.S.recessionthisyearandthecurrentexpansionwon'thavethestayingpowerofitsdecade-longpredecessor.
``Weareinthesixthyearofarecovery;imbalancescanemergeasaresult,''Greenspan,81,saidinaninterviewyesterdayathisofficeindowntownWashington.``Ten-yearrecoverieshavebeenpartofamuchbroa...[
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Greenspanfearsrecession-reportFormerFedchiefwarnsthatU.S.economynearingendofgrowthperiod.February262007:9:06AMESTNEWYORK(CNNMoney.com)--FormerFederalReserveChairmanAlanGreenspanwarnedMondaythattheeconomymayfallintorecessionbytheendof2007,accordingtoapublishedreport.Greenspantoldabusinessconferencethatit'sdifficulttoforecastthetimingofrecessionsbutthatitwas"possible"thatonecouldoccurlaterthisyear,t...[
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byJohnRubino
byJohnRubinoAllyouworriedgoldbugsoutthere,repeatafterme:Correctionshappen.Everybullmarkethaslotsof5%-10%squigglesthatlookliketheendoftheworldtothosewhodon'tunderstand,andlikeentrypointstothosewhodo.GoldMoney'sJamesTurkdevotesapageofhislatestFreeMarketGold&MoneyReporttothepropositionthatthesecularbullmarketinpreciousmetals(andtheseculardeclineinthedollar)isaliveandwell.Here'sso...[
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![](http://images.moneyandmarkets.com/GURUS/tony.jpg)
MoneyandMarketsTuesday,March6,2007
DearSubscriber,TheShenzhen/ShanghaiIndexof300stocksfell9.2%lastTuesday.Why?BecausetheStateCouncil,China’shighestrulingbody,saiditstartedaspecialtaskforcetoclampdownonillegalshareofferingsandotherbannedactivities.Investorswereworriedthatthegovernment’szealcoulddamagethewholestockmarket.There’snoquestionthat9.2%isabigsingle-daydrop.However,justlookingatthato...[
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