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对市场下一步走势的看法

(2025-07-20 05:38:09) 下一个

In the coming weeks both bulls and bears will probably be right at some point, and I stay risk on tactically because:?

Fundamentals holding up, earnings expectations of 5.8% Q2 YoY for SPX looking very beatable, and mag 7 valuation of 30x fwd p/e mid range since launch of ChatGPT;

US debt sustainability concern will help minimise extreme left tails during tariff negotiations;

This has not been a heavily participated rally, positioning nowhere as stretched compared to beginning of the year.?

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