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Disconnect between Fed and Equity Market

(2025-07-18 04:15:08) 下一个



The equity market is signaling optimism, with cyclicals outperforming and the SP 500 near record highs. Yet, the interest rate market suggests caution, anticipating Fed rate cuts. This divergence between equities and rates raises a critical question: is the Fed more concerned about macroeconomic risks than the market realizes?

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