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图例解终极技术分析UTAM

(2011-07-01 05:22:03) 下一个
图例解终极技术分析UTAM

美股200SMA/100SMA/50SMA有公认的长线、中长线和中线作用,可与W/M/头肩形态、支撑线/阻力线一起作有效的宏观判读。关键点处汇合的均线、形态和价量配合形成的判读模式(Pattern)越多,准确性就越高。20SMA is the smallest daily K-bar timeframe,and more detailed chart-reading totally relies on价量配合、K线定式和日K线形态,比如,影线、低/高开,K线实体长度和相对位置、跳空等等,以及它们相对于SMAs/支撑线/阻力线/形态点的位置和价量特征。终极技术分析UTAM(the Ultimate TA Methodology)只注重这些内容。

需要完全摒弃的错误:

1,趋势当然重要,但画趋势线是极端错误的。Trend-lines never work because they can in no way explain or relate to the detailed K-bar price-volume information, which is the faithful footprint of market movement. Therefore, they can never guide effective trading analysis.

2,所有的技术指标都有缺陷,都滞后,对短线和波段交易没有作用,对中长线的出入点指示也不及时。对所有的技术指标,比如KDJ、RSI、MACD等等,先弄懂它们的数学原理,看看它们对应在Chart-reading上是在描述什么、预测什么,了解其Faults和Inability,然后完全抛弃。

Illustration of the Ultimate TA Methodology(UTAM):
(Click the chart to see detailed charting)

VRSN20100615Daily
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lindaaa 回复 悄悄话 谢谢分享! 收藏.
charvo 回复 悄悄话 damn, finally Master F posts something that I've been thirsty for!

Master F, post more like this, instead of china economy.
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