牛经沧海投资感悟生活点滴
吾言吾所思，君闻君所愿。【声明】仅供交流之用，不作投资建议。
博文
(2009-11-10 12:30:25)
BKXhasrolledoverineachrallyinthelast4weekswithoutasinglefollowthrough.Ifitclosehighertoday,itwillbetrendchangethatnegateamid-termbearishdistributions.Read:Financialwilllikelyensueamoderaterally.
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(2009-11-05 08:04:33)
(2009-10-24 11:11:05)
三周以来,大盘低开高走收阴,惹牛熊无限遐思.沧海的交易得缓失速.周五的反抽
,痛失三周来的薄利.以下图表乃现存的CarryingTrades(不计已获利平仓交易及
长仓),真实记录了一个SwingTrader的心路历程.其中甘苦,惟同道者知.
SymbolDay'sGain%Day'sGain$QuantityDateAcquiredPricePaidMarketValueTotalGain$TotalGain%STX-1.2%(380.00)2000.0010/7/0915.0031460.001452.214.8%FROKX4.0%(1000.00)20.0010/8/092.797000....[阅读全文]
(2009-10-17 09:59:05)
(2009-10-13 08:14:25)
Marketneedsacatalysttobreakout:eitherupordown,pivotalaround1080.Oncesuchamoveistriggered,a4%altitudeisexpectedwithintwoweeks.
ERsofINTC/JPMwillbesuchacatalyst. [阅读全文]
ERsofINTC/JPMwillbesuchacatalyst. [阅读全文]
(2009-10-11 15:02:08)
牛经沧海 10/11/2009 网上交易诞生以前,股票交易费用很高.自从有了网上交易,沧海于98年10月在ETRADE开
了个户.那时刚工作才两年,所幸在股市里赚了一点,大约十万之数,初尝资
本的甜头,摩拳擦掌,踌躇满满,立志要搞个0.1B(表笑偶). 正所谓初生牛犊不怕虎,沧海总是用足马金,专找价值飘渺的概念股耍,搞的二十
年股龄的同事某,某某,某某某等几分不屑,几分羡慕,几分[阅读全文]
(2009-10-06 16:51:00)
似乎又该盘点持仓以见机减仓,以前谈过减仓是个过程,这里谈谈几种减仓方法.
1.卖长仓
2.短
3.卖靠
4.买扑
5.买VIX靠
6.抛出高贝特股换进低贝特股
沧海持仓盘点(Asof10/06/2009)
Symbol%ofPortfolioGOLD20.94%DNDN15.54%FXI11.89%FAS11.64%BIDU11.48%BX10.40%CAB9.85%SKS7.27%NSC6.35%ERX5.80%OSG5.60%LDK4.71%AVNR4.57%STP4.17%CTV3.98%ALUAZ2.79%CMEJM1.47%BYOKO1.40%APAJR1.00%CJW0.97%FHUA...[阅读全文]
(2009-08-09 15:14:17)
牛经沧海 8/9/2009 市场经过LEH破产触发的千里狂泻,让恒熊赚得找不着北.就在熊们比划着想像着SPX即将跌回两位数,道指杀到三位数的时候,就在多数人确信百年不遇的熊市已经到来之时,市场自三月九日启动了一波强劲的恢复行情. 历史是一面镜子.这也是TA的第一条公理.如果您同意这种说法,完整的恢复行情必经三个阶段:确定不信,将信将疑,确定相[阅读全文]
(2009-08-01 06:49:19)
(2009-07-29 15:53:07)
Basedonmyexperienceandproprietarymetrics.Ha,IcanbewrongandIamwrongfrequently.Thatsaid,aseriousmaterial,multi-weekcorrectshouldbearoundthecorner.Iplannedtodosomereductionjusttwodaysago.
YMYD.
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YMYD.
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