来也匆匆,去也忽忽
牛经沧海
4/25/2009
正如年初一连九周毁灭性的下跌,市场正在经历一场出人意料的"拨乱反正".凡是昨日弃之如敝屣,今日拾之若珍宝.熊啊熊,来也匆匆,去也忽忽.
记得七六年的时候,我的班主任出嫁.她的丈夫是个小学文化程度的赤脚医生.这位医生是个孤儿,而班主任是下乡知青.两位非主流大龄青年结合,合乎情理.不可思议的是赤脚医生从上[
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ThefollowingETFsreached100Daynewhighslastweek.Ifthemarketgrowsintoasecularbull,theearlywinnerswilllikelybethefinalwnnersinsuchajourney.
XRTSPDRRETAILETF
RSXMKTVCTRRUSSIA
EWHISHAREMSCIHONG
QLDPROSHARESULTRA
SMHMLSEMICONDHLDR
IWPISHARERSMCGR
OIHOILSERVICEHOLD
QQQQPOWERSHARESEXCH
YMYD
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DIA:8484to8454
SPY:89.14to90.69
Assumethereisnocorrectionuntilthetargetsarereached
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DJIAtradedabove8000timesoutofthelast10daysto-date.Eachtime,itfailedtoholdlongenough,butitmoveditslowshigher.Thisweekisagoodtimetobreakupandrunawayafteritstwoweekconsolidation.Shoulditfailedagainwithinthreedays,a10%correctionislikely.
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Weneedtofocusonthesectorthatwentthroughaburst.ItmightnotbeagoodideatoexpectarepeatofhistoryofNASDAQtodaytowaitforadeepercrush,asitdidafterits2001bounce.
TheKBWBankIndexBKXhasfallen85%fromitshightoitslowreachedinearlyMarch.
Forcomparison,theNasdaqfell77%toptobottomaftertheTechBubblecollapsedwhiletheDowfell89%duringtheDepression.
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信牛的人多了,就牛市了;信熊的人多了,就熊市了.
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Wherearewenow?
Morechartsareavailablehere:http://dshort.com/charts/bear-markets.html?four-bears
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OrderDetailsforOrder#4838
TransactionStatus
OrderDescription
Date&Time
Quantity
Price
Executed
OrderPlaced-RIO
BuyRIOMktDay
...[
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ThegovernmentsaidThursdaythatthemaximumamountofearningssubjecttotheSocialSecuritytaxwillincreaseto$106,800in2009from$102,000thisyear.About11millionwillpayhighertaxesasaresultoftheincrease.
Itimpliesthatonly11millionofAmericansmakemorethan$102,000annually.Certainly,itonlyaccountstheearningsfromtheirlabor,notfrominvestment.Thehighearningpopulationissurprisinglysmall.
Few,ifanyonthisboar...[
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牛经沧海
10/13/2008
因上周LEH的CDSEVNET,CDS卖方被迫变现400B以应付清算,直接导致剧量MARGINSELL,引发道指创下有史以来最大的单周跌幅。请关注近期CDSEVENTS。估计不会再有LEH的冲击力,但不可不防喔。
WashingtonMutual:10/23/08
Lansbanki:11/04/08
Glitair:11/05/08
Kaupbing:11/06/08
LehmanBrothers:10/10/08(Done)
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