博文
Market Got Lost.
(2007-11-14 18:53:13)
Arepeopleleavingtownfortheholidayalready?
Thevolumnisjustanemic.So,anymovebyasinglebigplayerwillhaveamagnifiedrippleeffect.Plus,peoplebecomesojumpylately,manytradesprobablyaresellfirstandaskingquestionlatekindoftrades.
Withmanyplayersaresidelined,itishardtotellexactlywherethemarketisheading,whichisagoodthing,sinceatleastitisnotheadingdown.Eventhough,themarkethasnotgottenitsgroveback,thispa...[阅读全文]
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a technical bounce or a fundamental shift?
(2007-11-13 19:01:57)
Agoodreboundbrightenthemarket,suddenly,arayoflightisshiningthroughthedarkness,butwhetherthatisthelightfromtheendofthetunnel,oraflashfromunderbelow,itisstilltooearliertobecertain.
Tobefair,therearegoodreasonsaswhythemarketisreboundingtoday.
WMTannoucedagoodearningandarosyholidaypicture,thatatleastalleviatesomeconcernsoftheconsumerspending.
GSsaidthattheyhavenowritedowns,andJPMsaidtheyar...[阅读全文]
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"R" stands for re-price/re-asses, not recession, Yet :)
(2007-11-12 17:49:42)
Theisalmostthesamebuttheoutcomeisalittlebitdifferentthistime.
Assoonastheopeningbellsounded,thebargainhunterscamein,pushedalltheindexeshigher.Whocouldblamethem?thestockismuchcheaperthanafewweeksago,anditisintheterritoryofoversold.andthesamestrategyworkednotlongago.
Onlythistime,thethingsaredifferent.
Firstofall,itistruethatthestockischeaperthanafewweeksago,however,iftheeconomytruelyslo...[阅读全文]
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Is it painful enough ?
(2007-11-10 15:18:43)
Whenallmychinesecolleguesaretalkingstocks,especiallychineseADRs,duringthelunchtime,Itismaybetruethatthepaininflictedlastweekwasnotstrongenough.
Withlargestdropinasingleweekin5years(accordingtoWSJ),theDOWandNASDAQarestillupquitehandsomely,nowonderordinaryinvestorsarestillexcitedaboutthemarket.Also,allthebigselloffsoflastquarterareturnedbetobuyingopportunities,so,peoplearestillhopingthistimewill...[阅读全文]
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Maybe Bull comes a little too early
(2007-11-08 19:14:44)
When8thArmyfoughtwithJapannessDevil:),theyhidewhenthelittledevilsstormedintothecountrysideandonlycameoutwhenthelittledevilleft.Thatmaypartiallyexplainwhyafter8yearsofresistancewar,8tharmycameoutontop--bythemeasureofhommanymorepeopletheyhave.
Ifthebullwantstowinthiswarofcrditmess,theymayhavetoemploythesamestrategy.Therearesomanypeoplesafraidofmissingouttherebound(meincluded:)),theyjumpintobuyin...[阅读全文]
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Too Many News, only the good news are ignored.
(2007-11-07 17:34:32)
WeweretoooptimistictosaythatthemarketwillseeanencoreofMondayifoneoftheearningsfromCSCOorAIGdisappointingafterthemarketclosing.
Well,thereplaywashereassoonasmarketopened.Newsfromchinasenddollarinatailspin,andmorebadnewsfromfinancialsectorsmakethemarketevenworse.Thistime,someofbank\'slendingpracticeareinvestigated.Thiswholesubprimemessbecomeworsebytheday,itisreminisceoftheenronscandalonlyinthela...[阅读全文]
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Bull comes out hideout..
(2007-11-06 19:54:24)
Nonewsisagoodnews,especiallywhenthereisnonewsfromfinancialsectors.Itdoesnotmatterthatthedollarcontinuetoslideandcommoditiespricesreachthehistoricalhigh,aslongaswedonothearfromlikesofCiti,BSCorMerrilLnych,itisconsideredagooddayandalicensetobuy.Thatitselfsaysalotofwheretheinvestors\'focusare.
Therearealotofexpectationsforthemarkettogohigher.So,givenachance,eventhereisnoapparantcatalyst,thebullsc...[阅读全文]
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Is selling done?
(2007-11-05 18:18:10)
Adayliketodayisalwaysviewedaspositive.Atleast,itconfirmedthatthesellingwasnotassevereasadvertised.Iftherearemorestrengthinthesellingside,whatcouldbeabetterdaythantodaytoseizethemoment.
Yet,therearesignsthatdonotbodewellforthedaystocome.forstarter,VIXistrendinghigher,whichimpliestherearemorevolatilities.secondly,thebreadthofthemarketwashorrible,thereareawholelotmorestocksturnbearishthanbullish....[阅读全文]
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Can a Gabi desert be turned into a Paradise?
(2007-11-04 16:33:49)
Ifyouputagreenforthesectorswhicharestrong,andyellowforthesectorswhichareweak,rightnow,themarketislikeagabidesert,withafewoasisintech,energyandhealthcare.ItseemsatoporderforBulltoturnsuchbleaksituationaround.However,itishardtosaythatallisinbear\'sfavouraswell.
Intermsofmarketfocus,achapterhasbeenclosedandanewpageturned.Themarketneedanewfocus,arallypointforbull,abattlecryforbear.Butrightnow,Ther...[阅读全文]
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Reality Checked
(2007-11-01 18:48:24)
Alotofthingsarebrokentoday,treadline,supportlevel,andnodoubtafewbrokeheartsaswell.Buthopefully,ourbankaccountsremainintact.
Theinstantanousgratificationofwallstreetgetarealitychecktoday.Afteracandygiving,costumshowinghalloweenparty,wallstreetwokeupfacingthesameproblemsthathaveplaguedthemarketsincethissummer,onlythistime,thebull\'slifelineistakenaway.
Itwasquitepuzzlingtosaytheleasthowmarke...[阅读全文]
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