1.VIXdeterminesthetradingdirection
2.cutlossismandatory(2000threshold).
3.conservecaptialisthegoaloverridingallothergoals(greedyistheworst).
4.flxible.nimble.
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Itisfittingthatmytradingaccountendsatxx9xxxdollars,amerefewhundredsshyofawholenumber.itistheepitomeoftheyear2013,itwasverygood,butcouldbebetter,hadIbeenmoreboldandaggressive.
Workwise,thereshouldbenocomplain.IgotwhatIsetouttoachive,eventhoughittookabigdetour.Thereweretimesitseemstheworldisveryunfair,butintheend,itwasfairthatIendupatthepostionthatIwouldhavealwaysliked.Ileftxcompanybecauseitstec...[
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Wearesuddenlyhastodealwithafeweventsatthesametime,andthatmakestradingofnextweekmoreinterestingthanitshouldbe.
ItseemsthattheimpactofDubai'sdefaultishardtoassess,basedonFriday'strading,itseemsliketheimpactwouldbelimitedatleastfornow.butsinceitisanunknown,itneverlesswillcastashadowonthemarket,so,probably,themarketwillmakesomecorrections,or,themarketwillnotbeasforgivingasitwaslastcoupleofweeks.So...[
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Marketcanneverbeexpected. Evenifitisbehavedexactlyasitisexpected,itisstillnotfullyexpected.suchisthecaseoflastweek.
Thethreedaysselloffwasexpected,buttheintensitywaslessexpected.whichmademewonderwhetherthiscycleofdownturnwillbelesssevere. weprobablyhasseenthelowerendofthisturn. 阅读全文]
Thependulumofthemarkethasreacheditspotentialinflexionpointyetagain,exactlyatthemarkoftwoweekscycle.
Wehaveseenthemarketmaintainningasteadyhigh/higherupwardchannelanditseemsthat11300isthepeakfortheDOW(1100forSP500).theindexesreachedtheirhighslastWednesdayandimmediatelyselloffonthursday(adaywhentheeconomicnewswas"good"mindyou).Fridaysawmarketreclaimedsomelostground,butfailshortofbreaki...[
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Lastweek,themajorconcernwaswhetherthemarketcankeepitscurrenttrend.Themarkethasansweredwithsomewhatmutedvoice.TheDOW,theSP500havenotviolatedtheirlastlows.OnlyNASDAQ100didbyatad.Thatwasgood.Theproblemisthevolumn.Thelasttwosessions,wesawDOW/SP500comeoutoftheirlowswithbelowaveragevolumns.
AnothernotablewasRUSSEL2000(smallcap)andNASDAQ100werethelaggards.Doesthismeanthelackofriskappetitefortheinvest...[
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Themarket,forthepast6monthes(startingmiddleofJune),hasbeeninanuptrend,thisisdemonstratedbyhigherhighandhigherlowinthemajorindexes(DOW,SPYandQQQQ).now,weareinacriticalmoment,ifthemarketcankeepabove1020forSP500and9430forDOW,wearestillinthetrend.so,nextweektradingisveryimportant.Twothingsworriesme,1).theDOWisnotoversoldyet.and2),transportationshowsapatternofdoubletop.So,thereisanchancethatwewillseefu...[
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Thereareworriesofmarketforsure,themarketwentdownonWendnesdaywhentheADPnumberwasgood,itopenedlowerFridaywhenthejobnumberwas"good"aswell.Whenmarketreactnegativelytothe"good"news,onehastopayattention.
However,Friday'smarketprovedthenay-saywrong.atleast,short-lived.Itismoresignificantwhentherearemanypeoplesanticipatethe"pullback"andmarketprovethosearejustwishfulthinki...[
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Weareapproachingacriticalpoint,allthosewhoofferedrelocationpackageisabouttorevealtheirtrueintentions.Otherthan3peopleswhohassteadfastly(2ofthemconsistently)saidtheywillsaynotothepackage,restofusprobablywillsayyesintheend.
Our"bigboss"gatheredustohaveameetingtogoovertherelocationissueslastFriday.Ifhewastotrytobeencouraging,hefailedmiserably.ThisiswhereIcannotcomprehend,Iamnotsurewhetherhewanted...[
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Themajorindexesdidnotfollowthroughlastweek,buttheydidnotfailoffeither.whichfactismoresignificant,onlytimewilltell.
Obviusly,thebullisinfirmcontrol,eventhesharesshortedonNYSEaredwinding,asignaloftenusedbycontrainsforthetimetosellnotwithstanding,itisasignthatbearsarerunningscared.
Thereareheadwindsahead,1).thejobreportFriday,and2).theapproachinglaborday.Ithasbeennotedthatthetradingvolumnhasb...[
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