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(2014-08-03 07:26:01)
1.VIXdeterminesthetradingdirection
2.cutlossismandatory(2000threshold).
3.conservecaptialisthegoaloverridingallothergoals(greedyistheworst).
4.flxible.nimble.
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Itisfittingthatmytradingaccountendsatxx9xxxdollars,amerefewhundredsshyofawholenumber.itistheepitomeoftheyear2013,itwasverygood,butcouldbebetter,hadIbeenmoreboldandaggressive.
Workwise,thereshouldbenocomplain.IgotwhatIsetouttoachive,eventhoughittookabigdetour.Thereweretimesitseemstheworldisveryunfair,butintheend,itwasfairthatIendupatthepostionthatIwouldhavealwaysliked.Ileftxcompanybecauseitstec...[阅读全文]
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(2009-11-28 21:44:50)
Wearesuddenlyhastodealwithafeweventsatthesametime,andthatmakestradingofnextweekmoreinterestingthanitshouldbe.
ItseemsthattheimpactofDubai'sdefaultishardtoassess,basedonFriday'strading,itseemsliketheimpactwouldbelimitedatleastfornow.butsinceitisanunknown,itneverlesswillcastashadowonthemarket,so,probably,themarketwillmakesomecorrections,or,themarketwillnotbeasforgivingasitwaslastcoupleofweeks.So...[阅读全文]
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(2009-11-22 20:20:11)
Marketcanneverbeexpected. Evenifitisbehavedexactlyasitisexpected,itisstillnotfullyexpected.suchisthecaseoflastweek.  
Thethreedaysselloffwasexpected,buttheintensitywaslessexpected.whichmademewonderwhetherthiscycleofdownturnwillbelesssevere. weprobablyhasseenthelowerendofthisturn. 阅读全文]
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(2009-11-15 14:30:40)
Thependulumofthemarkethasreacheditspotentialinflexionpointyetagain,exactlyatthemarkoftwoweekscycle.
Wehaveseenthemarketmaintainningasteadyhigh/higherupwardchannelanditseemsthat11300isthepeakfortheDOW(1100forSP500).theindexesreachedtheirhighslastWednesdayandimmediatelyselloffonthursday(adaywhentheeconomicnewswas"good"mindyou).Fridaysawmarketreclaimedsomelostground,butfailshortofbreaki...[阅读全文]
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(2009-11-06 18:44:31)
Lastweek,themajorconcernwaswhetherthemarketcankeepitscurrenttrend.Themarkethasansweredwithsomewhatmutedvoice.TheDOW,theSP500havenotviolatedtheirlastlows.OnlyNASDAQ100didbyatad.Thatwasgood.Theproblemisthevolumn.Thelasttwosessions,wesawDOW/SP500comeoutoftheirlowswithbelowaveragevolumns.
AnothernotablewasRUSSEL2000(smallcap)andNASDAQ100werethelaggards.Doesthismeanthelackofriskappetitefortheinvest...[阅读全文]
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(2009-11-01 14:39:02)
Themarket,forthepast6monthes(startingmiddleofJune),hasbeeninanuptrend,thisisdemonstratedbyhigherhighandhigherlowinthemajorindexes(DOW,SPYandQQQQ).now,weareinacriticalmoment,ifthemarketcankeepabove1020forSP500and9430forDOW,wearestillinthetrend.so,nextweektradingisveryimportant.Twothingsworriesme,1).theDOWisnotoversoldyet.and2),transportationshowsapatternofdoubletop.So,thereisanchancethatwewillseefu...[阅读全文]
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(2009-09-07 20:38:19)
Thereareworriesofmarketforsure,themarketwentdownonWendnesdaywhentheADPnumberwasgood,itopenedlowerFridaywhenthejobnumberwas"good"aswell.Whenmarketreactnegativelytothe"good"news,onehastopayattention.
However,Friday'smarketprovedthenay-saywrong.atleast,short-lived.Itismoresignificantwhentherearemanypeoplesanticipatethe"pullback"andmarketprovethosearejustwishfulthinki...[阅读全文]
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(2009-08-30 11:08:12)
Weareapproachingacriticalpoint,allthosewhoofferedrelocationpackageisabouttorevealtheirtrueintentions.Otherthan3peopleswhohassteadfastly(2ofthemconsistently)saidtheywillsaynotothepackage,restofusprobablywillsayyesintheend.
Our"bigboss"gatheredustohaveameetingtogoovertherelocationissueslastFriday.Ifhewastotrytobeencouraging,hefailedmiserably.ThisiswhereIcannotcomprehend,Iamnotsurewhetherhewanted...[阅读全文]
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(2009-08-30 10:44:51)
Themajorindexesdidnotfollowthroughlastweek,buttheydidnotfailoffeither.whichfactismoresignificant,onlytimewilltell.
Obviusly,thebullisinfirmcontrol,eventhesharesshortedonNYSEaredwinding,asignaloftenusedbycontrainsforthetimetosellnotwithstanding,itisasignthatbearsarerunningscared.
Thereareheadwindsahead,1).thejobreportFriday,and2).theapproachinglaborday.Ithasbeennotedthatthetradingvolumnhasb...[阅读全文]
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