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Judicial Missiles司法导弹

(2025-12-02 05:29:34) 下一个

原文链接:https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/judicial-missiles-2ac3fad7dab6?sk=89c44a08d86796567bdf8988609483d6

Judicial Missiles

By: Giorgio Provinciali

Live from Ukraine ????????

Khoroshe Demonstrating the undisputed prowess of its engineering sector, over the past two years Ukraine has achievedthe fastest development of strategic weapons since the Cold War. The latest electronic warfare (EW) systems, turbojet and micro-turbojet engines, attack drones with ranges exceeding 1,000 km, and other ballistic, anti-ship, and cruise missiles are all made in Ukraine.

At the latest meeting on the development of the capabilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, it emerged that from September to November,Ukraine shot down approximately 100 Russian KAB glide bombs equipped with new rocket engines, providing valuable feedback to its allies.

Designed before the war, theHRIM-2 tactical ballistic missilehas been integrated and industrialized through efforts by consortia including Fire Point, the Pavlohrad Institute, and other Ukrainian companies.

Reengineered after Russian sabotage of the solid-propellant lines between 2019 and 2021, that project is the basis for variants like theHRIM-3, which has a range of 700 800 km (vs. 350 500 km): Ukraines response to the Russian Iskander and American restrictions on the use of ATACMS et similia.

Then there are the so-calledshort-range micro-ballistic missiles with a depressed profile, hard to intercept and capable of being mounted on mobile platforms.

Finally, to mention just the most recent cost-effective projects compatible with decentralized production that Fire Point helped standardize in 20242025, there are theFlamingomissiles. Which exist and indeed strike on Russian soil.Fire Point has become the symbol of this technological renaissance: a mixed cluster (private + military engineers) that in 18 months has produced solutions that triple Kyivs offensive capabilities at strategic depth.

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A Flamingo being shot Photo source: The Economist

Ukraines extensive drone and missile network is the main target of a covert conflict run by Moscow and its allies on two parallel fronts: attacking production facilities and engineers from the outside with missiles and drones; and internally undermining, infiltrating, or sabotaging top leadership through fabricated scandals, judicial pressure, influence campaigns, and undercover operatives.

A recent Russian attack in Vishhorod just hours ago led to the death of a Ukrainian Fire Point engineer connected to the Flamingo project. To eliminate him, the Russians carried out a precision strike on his apartment, injuring about twenty other civilians. This is not an isolated incident, as over the past two years, Moscow has pursued Ukrainian aerospace engineers, UAV technicians, microturbine designers, and electronics researchers.

The goal is to slow down the growth of Ukrainian industry, which, despite everything, is expanding rapidly: suffice it to say that domestic drone production increased more than 500 times from 2022 to 2025.

This context also includes the judicial siege that views anti-corruption bodies like NABU and SAP as tools for internal instability.In our last article, we highlighted a few of the most high-profile investigations that led to the arrest of Russian informants, spies, and collaborators who infiltrated NABUs elite D-2 unit (Ruslan Mahamedralusov and Viktor Husanov among them), demonstrating how it operates within a Western conditionality framework: through SAP, it receives American and European technical and financial support and shares evidence and classified material with the FBI. Other analysts have confirmed that a permanent FBI representative works within NABU, with his own office.

The recent searches of NABU and SAP in the offices of the resigned Presidential Cabinet Chief (OPU) Andriy Yermak are consistent with this dynamic.

Fire Point is not just a private company; it is a strategic cluster within the Defense Tech Forces technological forces launched under President Zelenskys direct initiative and coordinated by his Office through the Ministry of Strategic Industries, The Center for Defense Innovations, the BRAVE 1 Platform, and the Presidential Office for Critical Technologies.

All these structures responded politically to Andriy Yermak because he was the head of the OPU.

Yermak did not determine the technical details, but he set priorities, access, flows, political protection, and security.

Without the OPU, Fire Point could not operate with speed, secrecy, and freedom of development.

Fire Point is testing new systems with unprecedented ranges, has launched an independent ballistic missile program, and produces micro-turbojets that reduce reliance on foreign components. Emboldened by the political shift in Washington, Moscow is intensifying its deep-sabotage efforts.

Over the past two years, Yermak has: established that Ukraine must produce missiles, drones, engines, and electronic warfare systems domestically; unblocked legal exemptions that reduced the authorization cycle for new weapons from 18 to 3 months; created confidential links between private manufacturers and military testing units; and authorized special procurement programs without public tenders, which is essential given the sectors volatility.

In other words:Fire Point exists because the political framework built by Yermak made it possible.

For different reasons, neither Moscow nor Washington likes this.

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A Flamingo photo source: Liga.net

Whenever Fire Point makes a significant advance, a NABU investigation begins; whenever the HUR tests a new launcher, a leak emerges; every time Ukraine shows independence, a judicial raid is triggered.

Its an easily documentable pattern.

As Ukrainian journalist Anna Kaliuzhna hasemphasized,anti-corruption investigations must in no way halt the production and development of defense companies that produce weapons capable of striking at strategic distances.For the first time in history, Ukraine has achieved decisive strategic results by bypassing the American policeman with self-produced vehicles.

As occurred in 1994, when it was compelled to give up the worlds third-largest nuclear deterrent, and in 2022, when, during a victorious counteroffensive, it was denied crucial support, enabling the enemy to entrench itself behind the Surovikin Lines,today Ukraine is a nuisance. Both to Washington and Moscow. Which prevents it from playing any winning cards.

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Me in Khoroshe, moments before writing this article. Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine ???????? copyrighted photo

THANKS TO ALL WHO BACK US IN THESE HARD TIMES

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感谢所有在这段艰难时期支持我们的人

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在过去的三年里,作为自由撰稿人,我们一直在乌克兰战争的所有前线进行报道,自从大规模

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司法导弹

作者:Giorgio Provinciali

乌克兰前线报道????????

霍罗舍-在展示其工程部门无可争议的实力方面,乌克兰在过去两年中实现了自冷战以来战略武器的快速发展。最新的电子战(EW)系统、涡喷和微涡喷发动机、射程超过1000公里的攻击无人机,以及其他弹道导弹、反舰导弹和巡航导弹均由乌克兰制造。

在最近一次关于乌克兰武装部队能力发展会议上,透露出从9月至11月,乌克兰击落了大约100枚装有新型火箭发动机的俄罗斯KAB滑翔炸弹,为乌盟友们提供了宝贵的反馈。

战前设计的HRIM-2战术弹道导弹,通过包括火点、帕夫洛赫拉德研究所和其他乌克兰公司在内的联盟的努力,完成了整合和工业化。

在2019年至2021年俄罗斯破坏固体推进剂生产线后进行重新研发的该项目,成为了HRIM-3等变体的基础,其射程为700至800公里(相比之前为350至500公里):这是乌克兰对俄罗斯伊斯坎德尔导弹以及美国对ATACMS等武器使用限制的回应。

还有所谓的短程微型弹道导弹,具有俯冲轨迹,难以拦截,并且可以安装在移动平台上。

最后,仅提及火点在2024年至2025年帮助标准化的最新经济高效、适应去中心化生产的项目,即是弗拉明戈导弹。这些导弹已投入使用,并能够打击俄罗斯境内。火点已成为这种技术复兴的象征:一个由民间与军方工程师组成的混合团队,在18个月内开发出解决方案,使基辅的战略纵深方面的攻势能力提高了三倍。

(图:一枚正在发射的弗拉明戈导弹图片来源:经济学人)

乌克兰广泛的无人机和导弹网络是莫斯科及其盟友在两个平行战线上进行的隐秘冲突的主要目标:一方面通过导弹和无人机从外部攻击生产设施和工程师;另一方面通过虚构丑闻、司法压力、宣传战和潜伏特工行动,从内部削弱、渗透或破坏高层领导。

就在几个小时前,俄罗斯在维希霍罗德的袭击导致一名与弗拉明戈项目相关的乌克兰火点工程师遇难。为了消灭他,俄军对他的公寓进行了精确打击,导致大约20名其他平民受伤。这并非孤立事件,在过去两年中,莫斯科一直追捕乌克兰航空航天工程师、无人机技术人员、微涡轮设计师和电子研究人员。

其目标是减缓乌克兰工业的增长,尽管如此,该工业仍在迅速扩展:仅举一例,从2022到2025年,国内无人机的生产增加了超过500倍。

这个背景下还包括司法围剿,将反腐机构如国家反腐败局(NABU)和特别反腐局(SAP)视为制造内部不稳定的工具。在我们上一篇文章中,我们指出了一些颇具影响力的调查,这些调查导致俄罗斯线人、间谍和渗透到NABU精英D-2小组的叛徒的被捕(包括鲁斯兰马哈梅德拉苏夫和维克托胡萨诺夫),展示了该机构如何在西方条件框架内的运作:通过SAP,它获得美国和欧洲的技术与财政支持,并与FBI共享证据和机密材料。其他分析人士证实,FBI在NABU内设有常驻代表,并拥有自己办公室。

最近NABU和SAP对辞职的总统办公厅主任安德烈叶尔马克办公室进行的搜查与这一动态相一致。

火点不仅是一家私营公司;它还是国防科技部队内的一个战略集群是在泽连斯基总统的直接倡议下启动的技术力量,由他的办公室通过战略工业部、国防创新中心、BRAVE 1平台和关键技术总统办公室协调。

所有这些结构在政治上由安德烈叶尔马克负责,因为他是总统办公室的负责人。

叶尔马克并未决定技术细节,但他设定了优先事项、渠道、流程、政治保护和安全。

没有总统办公室,火点无法以迅速、保密和自由发展的方式运作。

火点正在测试具有前所未有射程的新系统,已经启动了独立的弹道导弹项目,并生产出对外国组件依赖性减少的微涡喷发动机。在华盛顿政治局势变化的鼓舞下,莫斯科正在加大其对乌深度破坏的努力。

在过去两年中,叶尔马克已做到以下几点:实现了乌克兰必须在国内生产导弹、无人机、发动机和电子战系统的目标;解封法律豁免,将新武器的授权周期从18个月缩短到3个月;创建立私人制造商与军事测试单位之间的机密联系;并在没有公开招标的情况下授权特殊采购项目,这在该行业波动性较大的情况下尤为重要。

换句话说:火点的存在是因为叶尔马克所建立的政治框架使其成为可能。

出于不同的原因,莫斯科和华盛顿都不喜欢这一点。

(图:一枚弗拉明戈导弹图片来源:Liga.net)

每当火点取得重大进展时,NABU便会展开调查;每当HUR测试新发射器时,泄密事件便会出现;每当乌克兰展现独立性时,司法突袭便会被触发。

这是一种容易被记录的模式。

正如乌克兰记者安娜卡柳兹娜所强调的,反腐败调查绝不能阻碍防务公司生产能够在战略距离内打击的武器的生产和发展。历史上第一次,乌克兰首次通过自主生产的装备,绕过美国的监管,取得了决定性的战略成果。

正如1994年发生的情况,当时乌克兰被迫放弃世界第三大核威慑力量,以及2022年在一次胜利反攻期间未能获得关键支持,使敌人能够在苏罗维金防线后巩固其阵地,如今的乌克兰对华盛顿和莫斯科都是一个麻烦。这妨碍了乌克兰打出任何决胜的牌。

(图:我在霍罗舍,在写这篇文章前片刻。乌克兰顿涅茨克州????????版权所有,Giorgio Provinciali)

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