Total Lies Create False Progress, While the Field Shows that Attacking Costs Far More Than Defending
By: Giorgio Provinciali
Live from Ukraine ????????
Kyiv During an interview with Axios, the President of Ukraine addressed a crucial point yesterday, supporting it with two undeniable facts:Putin does not have enough military equipment and personnel to win the war.
First, becausehis strongest battalions have been destroyed: since the beginning of 2025, he has lost approximately 346,000 men due to deaths and injuries, which is the same number he mobilized during that period.
Second, it is clear thatthe assurances he privately gave to Trump in Anchorage that he would invade all of Donbas by mid-October have failed badly.
Consequently, as Zelensky noted, the Russians are using the highways they have built in the Western information space to make thoseimaginary advancesthat on the ground proceed uphill and with the handbrake pulled.
Accordingto British intelligence statistics,the Russian army has lost 1,118,000 soldiers since the beginning of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine. At a rate of a thousand casualties per day, the Russian authorities are now considering the introduction of annual conscription to reduce the impact of these losses on the populations morale.
Just yesterday, the Russians launched a new mechanized assault on Volodymyrivka and Shakhove, deploying 29 armored vehicles in that sector of Dobropillia but ultimately losing more than half of them (two tanks, 12 combat vehicles, and one light anti-tank gun). That massive loss of men and resources resulted only in the infiltration of a few Russian soldiers into Shakhove, while the Ukrainian Defense Forces successfully repelled the occupiers at least three points (Fedorivka, Nikanorivka, and Novy Shakhovy), after raising the yellow-and-blue flag at at least three others: Sukhetske, Zatyshok, and Kucheriv Yar.
Saying that, overall, Russia is not making any progress is incorrect because, at a very high human, economic, and technical cost, some progress has been achieved. However, it is equally misleading to interpret daily setbacks like those described as success.
The Russian army is bleeding much faster than the Ukrainian one, because if theres one thing this great war of the new millennium has proven, its thatattacking costs disproportionately much more than defending.
Current technologies enable the affordable production of drones capable of neutralizing multi-million dollar attacks and mechanized vehicles, just as was seen in the Russian offensive against Shakhove and Volodymyrivka, which is a carbon copy of at least two other similar unsuccessful attempts by the Russians between September and October on Kostiantynivka and Kupiansk.
There,in Pokrovsk, Russian saboteurs have indeed infiltratedand, at a significant cost, are nowtrying to reinforce positions that the Ukrainians have repeatedly destroyed, who keep pushing them back until their generals send more.
Faced with such a situation, any observer with the slightest knowledge of the facts would have immediately dismissed asfalse the news released by the Russian news agency TASS about the alleged encirclement of 5,000 Ukrainian troops. Unfortunately, however,the media actually present on the ground is increasingly rare, and so lies find fertile ground. If, as I reported yesterday, its the public information service itself thats reposting certain fake news created by those agencies, theres no reason why the Kremlins megaphones shouldnt feel compelled to spread even bigger ones. Thus, it happens that the supposedly encircled Ukrainian soldiers number as many as 10,000, as some Italian news sources report, citing alleged analysis and defense sources written by the same authors.
This issue isnt confined to Italy; it has become so serious worldwide that Zelensky needed to intervene directly, dismissing those exaggerated stories astotal liesdesigned to give the false impression of an imminent Russian victory.As the Ukrainian president clarified,aside from minor adjustments, the front-line situation has stayed the same for two or three months. However,the situation described by the media is not, and thats where the true strength of the Wests enemy lies.
For years, Moscow has invested enormous sums to consolidate a network of spies, informants, officials, and corrupt journalists which was once the pride of the former Soviet Union, skillfully adapting it to new technologies. Considering the cost of war on the military side and the repercussions of media coverage on the political decisions that can influence a global conflict, those pharaonic expenditures are peanuts, which have yielded truly remarkable returns.
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在过去的三年里，作为自由撰稿人，我们一直在乌克兰战争的所有前线进行报道，自从大规模
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谎言制造虚假进展，而战场显示攻击远比防御付出更高的代价
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
乌克兰现场报道????????
基辅昨天,乌克兰总统在接受Axios采访时，谈到了一个关键问题，并用两个不可否认的事实予以支持：普京没有足够的军事装备和兵力赢得这场战争。
首先，因为他最强大的营已被摧毁：自2025年初以来，因伤亡和牺牲普京已损失大约34.6万人，这与他在此期间动员的兵力相当。
其次，很明显他私下向特朗普在安克雷奇做出的承诺到十月中旬将全面入侵顿巴斯彻底失败。
因此，正如泽连斯基所指出的，俄军利用他们在西方信息空间建造的公路，进行那些想象中的推进，虽然在地面上前进，但却像是踩着刹车上坡一样。
（图：Alla在乌克兰防线报道版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
根据英国情报统计，自全面入侵乌克兰以来，俄军已损失111.8万名士兵。以每日千余人伤亡的速度，俄罗斯当局现在考虑引入年度征兵，以减轻这些损失对民众士气的冲击。
就在昨天，俄军对沃洛迪米里夫卡和沙霍韦发动了一次新的机械化攻击，在多布罗品利地区部署了29辆装甲车，但最终损失了其中一半以上（2辆坦克、12辆战斗车和一门轻型反坦克炮）。大量人力和资源的损失，只换来少数俄军士兵潜入沙霍韦，而乌克兰国防军则成功在至少三个地点（费多雷夫卡、尼康诺里夫卡和诺维沙霍韦）击退了敌人，并至少在另外三个地点升起了蓝黄旗（苏赫茨克、扎蒂肖克和库切里夫雅尔）。
总体而言，声称俄罗斯没有取得任何进展是不正确的，因为在极高的人力、经济和技术成本下，俄军已经取得了一些进展。然而，将对方的日常挫折宣称为自己的成功，也是具有极度误导性。
俄军的伤亡速度远远快于乌克兰，因为这场新时代的伟大战争已证明，进攻的成本远远高于防御。
现代技术能够负担的起生产那种无人机，可以破坏价值数百万美元的攻击和机械化车辆，正如在俄军对沙霍韦和沃洛迪米里夫卡的攻击，就是俄军在九月至十月间在科斯蒂安蒂夫卡和库皮扬斯克的两次失败尝试的复制品。
在波克罗夫斯克，付出了巨大代价后，俄罗斯破坏者确实已经成功潜入，目前正试图巩固那些乌军多次摧毁的据点，而乌军则不断将其击退，直到他们的将军派出更多增援。
（图：我在乌军的一个战壕中版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
面对如此局势，任何对事实稍有了解的观察者都会立即驳斥俄罗斯新闻机构塔斯社关于包围了5000名乌克兰士兵的报道，视其为假新闻。然而，不幸的是，亲赴现场报道的媒体越来越少，这为谎言提供了滋生的沃土。正如我昨天所报道的，甚至是公众信息服务本身也在转发由这些机构制造的假新闻，克里姆林宫的喉舌没有理由不去传播更大规模的虚假信息。因此，正如一些意大利新闻来源报道，所谓被包围的乌克兰士兵数量据称多达1万人，是引用了由同一作者撰写的所谓分析和防御消息来源。
这个问题并不局限于意大利；它已经在全球范围内变得如此严重，以至于泽连斯基不得不直接介入，斥责这些夸张的报道为彻头彻尾的谎言，旨在营造俄罗斯胜利在即的虚假印象。正如乌克兰总统所澄清的，除了少许变动外，前线局势在过去两三个月内一直保持不变。然而，媒体描述的情况并非如此，这也揭示了西方敌人的真正实力所在。
多年来，莫斯科投入巨资巩固了一张由间谍、线人、官员和腐败记者组成的网络，这曾是前苏联的骄傲，并巧妙地采用新技术如虎添翼。考虑到军事方面的战争成本，以及媒体报道对可能影响全球冲突的政治决策的影响，这些巨额的开支根本微不足道，却带来了非常显著的回报。
（图：我为意大利报纸La Ragione撰写的专栏版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
