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《最后的战争：人工智能将如何影响印度与中国的最终摊牌》
2022年8月5日，作者：Pravin Sawhney
如果印度和中国在不久的将来开战，印度将面临在十天内输掉战争的可能。中国可以以最小的人员伤亡拿下阿鲁纳恰尔邦和拉达克，而印度对此束手无策。这是因为印度军队正在为一场错误的战争做准备。在这本令人大开眼界又令人不安的书中，军事专家兼畅销书作家Pravin Sawhney详细解释了这种令人担忧的局面将如何发展。
中印战争将让人想起1991年的海湾战争。美军在太空资源的支持下，将传感器与射击武器和制导弹药连接起来的作战网络，在世界各国军队中引起了震惊和敬畏。同样，中印战争将以人工智能、新兴技术的使用震惊世界。技术、多领域作战、富有想象力的战争理念以及人机协作。自2017年洞朗危机以来，中国一直在为此做准备，此后，中国永久性地增兵实际控制线。
作者认为，中国的超级大国地位只会不断增强，两国之间的“能力差距”也会扩大。如果爆发全面战争，印度军队将无法与中国人工智能支持的战争机器匹敌。在这样的战争中，传统的常规力量将处于巨大的劣势，核武器将毫无作用，单个士兵的英勇也将变得无关紧要。印度正在磨练其在陆、空、海三个物理领域作战的优势，而解放军则致力于在七个领域——空、陆、海（包括深海作战）、外层空间、网络空间、电磁频谱和近太空（又称高超音速领域）——占据压倒性优势。解放军的颠覆性技术将在敌对行动开始后的72小时内击溃印度，并迅速终结印度的抵抗。主要战场并非陆地，而是网络空间和电磁频谱。《最后的战争》解释了为什么印度必须努力防止此类战争的发生。
印度应避免与美国联合作战，因为美国在该地区的力量正在削弱。相反，印度应该寻求与目前的主要对手中国和巴基斯坦实现和平，同时努力增强其在尚未集中资源的领域的军事和技术实力。只有这样，印度的边境才能牢不可破，该地区未来的和平与繁荣才能得到保障。
"THE LAST WAR How AI Will Shape India's Final Showdown With China
Aug. 5 2022 by Pravin Sawhney (Author)
If India and China were to fight a war in thenear future, India faces the prospect of losing the war within ten days. Chinacould take Arunachal Pradesh and Ladakh with a minimum loss of life, and thereis very little that India could do about it. This is because the Indianmilitary is preparing for the wrong war. In this eye-opening and disquietingbook, military expert and bestselling author Pravin Sawhney explains in greatdetail how this alarming scenario could play out.
China'swar with India will be reminiscent of the 1991 Gulf War. The US military'sbattle networks connecting sensors to shooters and guided munitions withsupport from space assets had induced shock and awe in militaries worldwide.Similarly, China's war with India will stun the world with the use ofartificial intelligence, emerging technologies, multi-domain operations, imaginative war concepts, and collaboration between humans and intelligentrobots. China has been preparing for this since the 2017 Doklam crisis afterwhich it permanently augmented its troops across the Line of Actual Control.Theauthor argues that China's superpower status will only grow and the'capabilities lag' between the two countries will expand. And if there isoutright war, the Indian military will be no match for China's AI-backed warmachines.
In such a war, traditional conventional forces will be at a hugedisadvantage, nuclear weapons will have no role to play, and the valour ofindividual soldiers will be of no consequence. India is honing its strengths tofight a war in the three physical domains of land, air, and the sea, whereasthe PLA is working on becoming the overwhelmingly superior force in sevendomains-air, land, sea (including deep-sea warfare), outer space, cyber space, the electromagnetic spectrum, and near space (aka the hypersonic domain). ThePLA's disruption technologies will overwhelm India within the first seventy-twohours of hostilities commencing, and will lead to the quick end of India'sresistance. The primary battleground will not be on land but in cyberspace andthe electromagnetic spectrum. TheLast War explains why it's critical that India works to prevent such a warever taking place.
It should avoid focusing onjoint combat with the US, whose power in the region is weakening. Instead, India should seek to make peace with China and Pakistan, its main adversariesat the moment, while simultaneously working to enhance its military andtechnological strengths in areas that it hasn't focused its resources on. Onlythen will the country's borders be firmly secure, and the region's future peaceand prosperity be assured.
