风萧萧_Frank
以文会友
CIA局长：与中国脱钩很蠢 现在是招俄间谍好时机
▲美国中央情报局局长伯恩斯。（图／达志影像／美联社）
美国中情局（CIA）局长伯恩斯（WilliamBurns）于1日表示，考虑到美中经济高度互相依赖，与中国脱钩将是愚蠢的做法。他也提到，俄罗斯内部对乌克兰战争的不满，是招募间谍“千载难逢”的机会，CIA不会白白浪费。
伯恩斯1日前往英国牛津郡，在关注英美关係的“迪奇利基金会”（DitchleyFoundation）发表演说，“中国是既有意图重塑国际秩序，也拥有越来越大的经济、外交、军事及科技力量做到这一点的唯一国家”，不过“在当今的世界里，没有国家希望自己在关键矿产及科技领域任由『一国联盟』摆布。”
伯恩斯认为，美国必须尝试让供应链更多元化，并对中国“去风险”，“不要与一个像是中国这样的经济体脱钩，这将是愚蠢的，但要明智地去风险并且多元化，透过确保供应链的弹性，保护我们的科技优势，并且投资工业产能。”
路透社指出，伯恩斯曾经担任美国驻莫斯科大使，他在同一场演说中也提到俄罗斯局势，“在国家宣传及镇压下，对战争的不满将持续侵蚀俄罗斯领导层。这种不满为CIA的我们创造了千载难逢的机会，而我们的核心正是人类情报服务。我们不会让它白白浪费。”
CIA's Burns Chooses To Attack Putin, Praise 'Anglo-American Partnership' in Ditchley Foundation Speech
July 2, 2023, 2022 (EIRNS)—CIA Director William Burns chose an address to Britain's Ditchley Foundation to make repeated attacks yesterday against Russian President Vladimir Putin and Russia, stating that the CIA has a wide opening to recruit people in Russia, and expressing “an enduring appreciation of the power and purpose of the trans-Atlantic Alliance and of the particular significance of Anglo-American partnership.”
The Ditchley Foundation, a force of British intelligence, was founded in 1958, in Oxfordshire to promote Anglo-American working relationships. Chairman Jonathan Hopkin Hill, Baron Hill of Oareford, is a director of The Times newspaper, member of the House of Lords, former Leader of the House of Lords, and former Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, responsible to the British Sovereign for administration of the Duchy, which is a private estate owned by the monarch.
In the course of the 59th Ditchley Annual Lecture July 1, Burns, former U.S. Ambassador to Russia (2005-2008), described his speech as a homecoming: “I first came here in 1979 as a young and unformed Marshall Scholar at Oxford ... but the effect it had on me was profound.” His enduring appreciation of the Anglo-American partnership was a guiding thread of his speech.
Burns remarked:
“In a transition memo that I drafted for the incoming Clinton Administration at the end of 1992, I tried to capture the dim outlines of the challenges ahead. ‘While for the first time in 50 years we do not face a global military adversary,’ I wrote, ‘it is certainly conceivable that a return to authoritarianism in Russia or an aggressively hostile China could revive such a global threat.’?”
Casting Russian President Vladimir Putin as an authoritarian, Burns asserted:
“The most immediate and acute geopolitical challenge to international order today is Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.... One thing I have learned is that it is always a mistake to underestimate Putin’s fixation on controlling Ukraine and its choices, without which he believes it is impossible for Russia to be a major power or him to be a great Russian leader. That tragic and brutish fixation has already brought shame to Russia and exposed its weaknesses.... Putin’s war has already been a strategic failure for Russia—its military weaknesses laid bare; its economy badly damaged for years to come; its future as a junior economic colony of China being shaped by Putin’s mistakes....”
Increasingly, Burns’ tone against Putin is viscerally bitter. He calls Putin “brutish.”
“I’m proud of the work that CIA and our partners across the U.S. intelligence community have done to help President Biden and senior policymakers, and especially Ukrainians themselves, thwart Vladimir Putin’s aggression in Ukraine. And I’m proud of our close partnership with our British allies, in particular the women and men of the Secret Intelligence Service [MI6] led by my friend Sir Richard Moore, for whom I have the greatest respect.... Together, we provided early and accurate warning of the war that was coming—the essential function of any intelligence service....
“Disaffection with the war will continue to gnaw away at the Russian leadership beneath the steady diet of state propaganda and practiced repression. That disaffection creates a once-in-a-generation opportunity for us at CIA—at our core a human intelligence service. We’re not letting it go to waste....”
Burns did warn, as U.S. Ambassador to Russia, that Russia saw the expansion of NATO as a threat, but 15 years later, while he still may have acuity, his earlier mindset may have somewhat diminished.
With respect to China, Burns said, “we pay special attention to what they do, and here President Xi’s growing repression at home and his aggressiveness abroad—from his no-limits partnership with Putin to his threats to peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait—are impossible to ignore.” Burns did say that, “The answer to that is not to decouple from an economy like China’s, which would be foolish, but to sensibly de-risk and diversify....” Chinese leaders have pointed out several times that “de-risking” is no different than decoupling.
He concludes: “And it is an honor to highlight that partnership here at Ditchley, where so much of the trans-Atlantic spirit found its spark.”
