美国、中国和虚假叙述的冲突

意外冲突
美国、中国和虚假叙述的冲突

Stephen Roach 2023 年 6 月 6 日

推动美中冲突升级的误入歧途的力量，以及通往新关系的道路
 
“对暴躁且瞬息万变的全球关系的及时、流畅、可读的评估。”——柯克斯评论（加星号评论）
 
《金融时报》年度最佳图书：经济学
 
短短四年间，中美两国先后进入贸易战、科技战和新冷战。 如果不是因为虚假叙述的不必要冲突，世界上两个最强大的国家之间的这场冲突就不会发生。 美国错误地将其贸易和技术威胁归咎于中国，却忽视了其摇摇欲坠的储蓄基础。 中国错误地将其增长挑战归咎于美国所谓的以市场为基础的社会主义遏制，而忽视了其失败的经济再平衡。
 
在对两国经济、政治和政策的强硬分析中，斯蒂芬·罗奇 (Stephen Roach) 认为，双方的许多言论都是危险的误导，被信息失真放大，更多地反映了每个国家的恐惧和脆弱性，而不是可信的 评估他们面临的风险。 罗奇概述了中美冲突升级的灾难性后果，提供了恢复互利关系的新路线图。

Accidental Conflict

America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives

by Stephen Roach    6 Jun 2023

The misguided forces driving conflict escalation between America and China, and the path to a new relationship
 
“A timely, fluid, readable assessment of a testy and rapidly changing global relationship.”—Kirkus Reviews (starred review)
 
A Financial Times Best Book of the Year: Economics
 
In the short span of four years, America and China have entered a trade war, a tech war, and a new Cold War. This conflict between the world’s two most powerful nations wouldn’t have happened were it not for an unnecessary clash of false narratives. America falsely blames its trade and technology threats on China yet overlooks its shaky saving foundation. China falsely blames its growth challenges on America’s alleged containment of market-based socialism, ignoring its failed economic rebalancing.
 
In a hard-hitting analysis of both nations’ economies, politics, and policies, Stephen Roach argues that much of the rhetoric on both sides is dangerously misguided, amplified by information distortion, and more a reflection of each nation’s fears and vulnerabilities than a credible assessment of the risks they face. Outlining the disastrous toll of conflict escalation between China and America, Roach offers a new road map to restoring a mutually advantageous relationship.