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达利欧 中国正在赢得贸易战 双方仍可避免军事冲突

(2023-02-15 14:24:50) 下一个

桥水基金创始人:中国正在赢得与美国的贸易战 双方仍可避免军事冲突

Abeer Abu Omar、Zainab Fattah 

 

【彭博】-- 对冲基金桥水基金创始人达利欧表示,中国在与美国的贸易战中佔了上风,但全球两大经济体之间的针锋相对可能不会升级为军事冲突。

这位亿万富翁投资者周三在迪拜的一场会议上表示,人民币开始更广泛地用于国际贸易。

达利欧说,只要观察数字——世界贸易的佔比和主导地位,即知中国正在赢得贸易战。

华盛顿和北京在人权、贸易以及技术和市场竞争等问题上都有冲突。随着据称是中国的间谍气球在美国上空遭到击落,两国关系跌至新低点。

拜登政府还在推进限制中国获取敏感半导体技术的计划,并试图迫使其视为盟友的国家也跟进。它还致力于减少美国对中国商品的依赖。

去年年底曾经警告两国“滨临军事战争”的达利欧说,美国似乎仍处于与中国发生冲突的“边缘”。

他说,“处于边缘不意味着会越过边缘。 希望我们不会越过边缘。”

原文标题Dalio Says China’s Winning Trade War With US But Clash Avoidable

--联合报道 Anthony Di Paola、Ben Bartenstein.

Dalio Says China’s Winning Trade War With US But Clash Avoidable

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/dalio-says-china-s-winning-trade-war-with-us-but-clash-avoidable-1.1884049#:~:text=

Abeer Abu Omar and Zainab Fattah, Bloomberg News

 
Ray Dalio, billionaire and founder of Bridgewater Associates LP, speaks during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., on Wednesday, May 1, 2019. The conference brings together leaders in business, government, technology, philanthropy, academia, and the media to discuss actionable and collaborative solutions to some of the most important questions of our time.

Ray Dalio, billionaire and founder of Bridgewater Associates LP, speaks during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., on Wednesday, May 1, 2019. The conference brings together leaders in business, government, technology, philanthropy, academia, and the media to discuss actionable and collaborative solutions to some of the most important questions of our time. , Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) -- Ray Dalio, the founder of hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, said China is coming out on top in the trade war with the US, though the standoff between the world’s two biggest economies likely won’t escalate into military conflict.

The billionaire investor told a conference in Dubai on Wednesday that the renminbi was beginning to be used more widely for international trade and the real winners of the confrontation will be those able to tap into both the US and China.

“China’s winning the trade war if you just take the numbers – the percentage of world trade and dominance,” Dalio said. 

Washington and Beijing have clashed on issues including human rights, trade and competition for technology and markets. Relations have hit a new low point with the shooting down of an alleged Chinese spy balloon over US territory.

The Biden administration is also pressing ahead with plans to curb China’s access to sensitive semiconductor technology and is trying to get countries it considers allies to do the same. It’s also working to lessen US reliance on China for merchandise.

Dalio, who warned late last year that the countries were “dangerously close to a military war,” said the US still appeared to be “on the brink” of conflict with China. 

“Brink doesn’t mean we’ll go over the brink,” he said. “Hopefully we don’t go over the brink,” he said. 

But for Dalio, the far greater challenge to America is from within. 

“A deterioration of infrastructure, education, political conflict, leadership,” alongside the opioid crisis and a growing divide between the poor and the rich, are among symptoms of decline, he said.

“The primary threat is internal,” Dalio said. “Basically, be strong. If you’re strong and healthy, you’ll be domestically and internationally well-off.”

--With assistance from Anthony Di Paola and Ben Bartenstein.

©2023 Bloomberg L.P.

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