08/31/11：短线市场进入消息静默期

08/31/11：短线市场进入消息静默期

将延续目前最小阻力方向：向上，即要么小涨，要么横盘。经历短线连续强势上涨之后，以横盘代替回调，就是强势的表现。

原定于9月2日的总统振兴经济演讲，将移到9月8日：

Obama yields to Boehner's Sept. 8 speech timing
http://news.yahoo.com/obama-yields-boehners-sept-8-speech-timing-023856606.html

到9月7日Boehner's的演讲之前的三个交易日（下周一Labor Day休市），将会是消息静默，日线不会波动太大。

大动静将视BAC  which 岛形反转后日线上在窄幅横盘强势调整。AMZN/AAPL/IBM/BIDU等前期领涨股已经调整完毕，日线上恢复了强势。Rotated Leader  CSCO日线上也确认了强势。

TA自8月26日上个星期五开盘一小时后重新开始高概率地起作用了。从8月2日SPX径直跌下200SMA 1285，到8月25日，除了8月9日星期二，在Fed Chairman Bernanke 沉默地Release FOMC  result后，先诱空向下连跌破位，最后一个小时强势迅速大幅反转，预示了中短线铁底之外，其它所有时间，TA在这种幅度的振幅和Votality之下，可靠度不高。这种情况下的策略，在判断中长线后市的基础上，要么空仓，要么不调仓。

[feile]

There are so much information from Wall Street everyday, a solid judgement is much needed. I believe expert like you do have your own approach/sense. I am trying to get there one day.
Many thanks and enjoy the weekend!

[FreeTrader]

回复feile的评论:
Target prices never make sense, neither how long it takes to get some price does.

My personal methodology appreciates no FA, so Ipad etc has nothing to do with AAPL price.

However, I do think AAPL will go new all time high before year end.

[feile]

Thanks again for sharing your very timely thoughts!
AAPL has a target price of $490, could you mind provide your sence of view? Be there in 6 months? I would think so considering that the majority of people still do not have Ipad, Iphone yet; and of cource they have lots of cash on hand. Have a peaceful day ~