美股趋势追踪。

1，道琼斯成份股趋势追踪。

	TREND VALUE	TREND / CONSOLIDATING
MRK	93%	STRAIGHT UP
NKE	93%	STRAIGHT UP
GS	80%	STRAIGHT UP
PG	73%	STRAIGHT UP
VZ	67%	STRAIGHT UP
MSFT	60%	STRAIGHT UP
AXP	53%	STRAIGHT UP
JNJ	47%	STRAIGHT UP
MMM	7%	STRAIGHT UP
PFE	5%	STRAIGHT UP
MCD	5%	STRAIGHT UP
IBM	5%	STRAIGHT UP
XOM	5%	STRAIGHT UP
JPM	80%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
AAPL	73%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
V	73%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
KO	47%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
INTC	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
UNH	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
TRV	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
WMT	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
CAT	-13%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
DOW	-13%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
UTX	-20%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
WBA	-27%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
HD	-33%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
CVX	-53%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
DIS	-20%	STRAIGHT DOWN
BA	-67%	STRAIGHT DOWN
CSCO	-67%	STRAIGHT DOWN

 

2，科技股趋势追踪。

	TREND VALUE	TREND / CONSOLIDATING
GOOG	100%	STRAIGHT UP
TSLA	87%	STRAIGHT UP
AMGN	73%	STRAIGHT UP
NVDA	73%	STRAIGHT UP
MU	73%	STRAIGHT UP
BIIB	70%	STRAIGHT UP
SBUX	53%	STRAIGHT UP
GILD	53%	STRAIGHT UP
QCOM	47%	STRAIGHT UP
MDLZ	47%	STRAIGHT UP
BKNG	33%	STRAIGHT UP
TXN	20%	STRAIGHT UP
FB	73%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
VRTX	67%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
ADBE	60%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
PEP	53%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
AMZN	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
AVGO	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
PYPL	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
FISV	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
ADP	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
ISRG	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
AMAT	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
CSX	-27%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
CHTR	-27%	STRAIGHT DOWN
COST	-33%	STRAIGHT DOWN
CMCSA	-40%	STRAIGHT DOWN
NFLX	-40%	STRAIGHT DOWN
TMUS	-73%	STRAIGHT DOWN
INTU	-100%	STRAIGHT DOWN

 

3，板块趋势追踪。

	TREND VALUE	TREND / CONSOLIDATING
IBB	93%	STRAIGHT UP
SMH	87%	STRAIGHT UP
XLF	80%	STRAIGHT UP
XLP	73%	STRAIGHT UP
KIE	60%	STRAIGHT UP
IYR	33%	STRAIGHT UP
XLE	7%	STRAIGHT UP
XLV	80%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
XLY	73%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
IAI	60%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
XLU	27%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
XLB	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
XHB	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
XLI	-20%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
IYT	-20%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
TOKE	-80%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
ITA	-20%	STRAIGHT DOWN

 

4，金、气、油、美元、美债趋势追踪。

	TREND VALUE	TREND / CONSOLIDATING
GLD	7%	STRAIGHT UP
UNG	-67%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND DOWN)
USO	67%	STRAIGHT UP
UUP	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
TLT	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)

 

5，大盘与恐慌指数趋势追踪。

	TREND VALUE	TREND / CONSOLIDATING
SPY	50%	STRAIGHT UP
QQQ	50%	STRAIGHT UP
DIA	5%	CONSOLIDATING (TREND UP)
MDY	50%	STRAIGHT UP
IWM	87%	STRAIGHT UP
IWC	80%	STRAIGHT UP
VIX		CONSOLIDATING

 

6，结论：一，牛势一片大好，形势喜人。二，恐慌指数震荡整理，这是变盘前兆。以史为鉴：“清明上河图”见证了北宋京城汴京的繁华，可是转眼间，金兵南下，二帝被掳，汴京城成废墟。

 

7，趋势追踪原理。

 

8，操作建议：

一，多方没有悲观的理由，也不应过于乐观。空方有上下其手的机会。

二，向巴菲特学习，积存现金等崩盘后抄底。