njrookie's random thoughts

A collection of my posts on investment, trading, and life...
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Difficultforonepersontoweartwohatsatthesametime.Itisbesttodelegateriskmanagementtoathirdparty,sayyourspouse: 1.Investmentandtradingarebasedonstrongdirectionviewsandself-belief.Traderisanoptimisticbunchin...[阅读全文]
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Whenyouhavemulti-yearofincrementalinvestmentinrentalmarkkets,calculatingreturnsgetscomplex.Thesimplewayisjustto:
1.calculatenetsumbyyear(thenetofdownpayment,rentscollected,maintenance,mortgagepaymentsetc);
2.addmarktomarketpropertyvalue(minusmortgagebalanceifany)tothefinalyear.
3.plugonlytheyearbyyearnetcashflowintoEXCELIRRfunction.
Hereistheexamplewithlittle-landlord'sveryimpr...[阅读全文]
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(2015-01-15 05:21:07)
Writingoptionislikeinsurancebusiness.Manysmalltomedium-sizefirmsruntheirownhealthinsuranceplan.Sofornormalreimbursement,theyjustpayfromthepool.Howeverforextremerisk,sayabove$2Mperemployer,thecompanybuyscoverage,iereinsurance,fromathirdpartywithreallyreallydeeppocket.Overall,itisstillmuchcheaperthancontractingeverythingouttothethirdpartyinsurancecompany.
Inoptionworld,youcanachievethesamebysell...[阅读全文]
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Firstapictureisworth1000words.Whatdoyouseebelow? 1.stock(SPY)goesupanddown; 2.bond(TLT)goesupanddown;阅读全文]
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Asalifetimechickenraiser,Iseethiseveryday:whentherearelimitedamount"goodies",headoftheflock-typicallyabigmeanrooster-takesthefirstpeck;thentheaggressivepure-breedlayinghens;follwedbythedocilecommerciallayers;meatbirdsareatthebottomofthepeckingorder.
Howisthisrelatedtofinance?Therearemanywaystofinancecorporateandgovernmentspending.Sothinkthisintermsofpeckingordersofcapitalstructure:阅读全文]
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(2014-12-31 21:00:24)

Aftertradingalmostfulltimefor5years,startedtheyearwitha7-figureactivetradingaccountforthefirsttime.Acombinationofover-confidenceandchangeinexchangerulecostedahugedrawdown(>1/2M)inamatterofthreedaysaroundendofJan.Havetotakeoutanother200KtocloseonacoupleofSFHs.Humiliated,humbled,anddeterminedtorecoverthelossesafterthat.Stayedverfocusedformanymonths.TradedOctwavealmostperfectlyandwentbacktoposit...[阅读全文]
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(2014-11-05 17:44:18)
Itishighlylaborintensiveanditrequireslotsofdisciplines.Ifyoudoitright,itistoughonthebody,buteasyonthemind.
Donotlistentoanyone.Findyourowngroove,iecomfortablestyleandcomfortableproduct.
Donottouch/speculateonrubbish.Sticktoliquidnamesandcutyourlossesquickly.Youdonotwanttomakesmallgains,butholdontolargelosers.
Donotjumptimeframeswhenyourtradewentagainstyouinyourtimeframe.Donotjustif...[阅读全文]
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Therearetwomainfactorsofinputsinaproductionfunction.Youmakemoneyfromcapitalorlabor.Nomatterhowvaluableyourskillsetisandhowhardyoucanwork,youareconstrainedto24hoursadayasdreamsistersaid.Theexpansion?limitgetsreachedverysoonifyouareaW2earner/handyman/laborsupplier.Ofcourse,ifyouareagenius/inventor,thiscanbedifferent,butthattakesaspecialtalentandlotsofluck.
Tomakeunlimitedincome,youneedtomake...[阅读全文]
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Stocks/options/futuresareinstruments/toolsyourenttoexpressyourshorttermviewandoperateyourbusinessinordertomakemoney. Sticktoyourtradingtimeframe.donotjumpbetweentimeframe.ifyouarewrong,getout.Donotgettrappedinas...[阅读全文]
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WarrenBuffettfamouslyranapartnershipforasmallgroupofinvestorsbeforeturningBerkshireHathawayintohisinvestmentvehicleofchoice.Heproducedextraordinaryresultsforhimselfandhisinvestors. Manydon’trealizethisbuthisbusinesspartnerCharlieMungeractuallyranhisowninvestmentpartnershipaswell.HereareMunger’sannualreturnsmeasuredagainsttheDowandS&P500frominceptionuntilthefundwascloseddown: ...[阅读全文]
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