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Compare FXI with Russel
(2014-07-31 18:56:52)

IfwecompareFXIand$RUTtoday,Iwouldbuy$RUTinsteadofFXI.Evenwithtoday'sbigselloffafterafewverybadnewscameoutthismorning.S&P1900areaand$RUT1100area,marketshouldfindsomekeysupport.
Therewillstillbeafewmoredowndaysevenbigones.Ifthathappens,thatiswhereyoucansellprotectionsandstarttousesomecashthatwereraised.
VIXiscloseto17today.Whenitgetstonear20,Iwouldstarttounloadprotectionandusecash.
T...[阅读全文]
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Market is ok, but shows negative diverging
(2014-07-29 15:31:09)

Marketisokatthemoment.Uptrendisstillverymuchintact.However,somenegativedivergingshowsupinS&PandQQQ.Whichtellsusitistimetobecautious.Addsomeprotectionandraisesomecash.
Bythatsaid,smallcapseemshanginginsideoversoldzone.Ithinkitmightperformbetterincomingweeks.Sothereisreallynoreasontobeverybearishnorverybullish.Andabsolutelynoreasontosellallbecauseoffearof20%correction.
Refertomypreviousa...[阅读全文]
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Bottoming Pattern Has Something in Common
(2014-06-10 19:16:35)

Bottomingisaprocess.Wewillusuallyseecommonpatterns.Doublebottom,orcupwithhandlearejusttwoexamples.Manytime,ifyouarepatientenough,thereisnoneedtoguessthebottom.Andyouwouldknowwhentobuythem.Currently,Iamsitting20%onISIS,11%onTWTR,and10%onFB.[阅读全文]
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EEM vs IWM
(2014-05-15 19:18:57)

Emergingmarketperformedmuchbetterin2014thanUSsmallcapstocks.Earlierthisyr,nobodylikesemergingmarket.Mexico,Brazil,andotherwerealltanked.Smallcapmadenewhighandeverybodypiledin.Howeversince,thingschangedalot.Smallcapbecomesworstperformerinfirsthalfof2014.
Atthispoint,EEMreachesresistance,Russellreachessupport.AndpeoplefearaboutRussellrightnow.60%+stocksinRussellareinbearmarket.So...wecouldseecha...[阅读全文]
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GDXJ (II)
(2014-05-04 15:32:52)

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FED Syndrome
(2014-05-01 19:14:38)

Marketretreatedinlast23timesafterFED'smeetings.Itseemsthatitwillbenodifferencethistime.ButasImentionedmanytimes,using2X,3XinverseETFstoshortthemarketisfool'sgame.Butbetterapproachisstilltoholdcorepositionandprotect/hedge.
Atthismoment,S&Pputsareprettycheap.VIXislow.Itmakeslotsofsensetoaddprotection.
Momentumstocksarestillintrouble.Itisnotlikelytochangeanytimesoonalthoughsomeshorttermbo...[阅读全文]
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Will AAPL/FB save QQQ?
(2014-04-23 19:09:54)

BothAAPL/FBreportedgoodearningafterhr.IshowedAAPL'schartinmypreviouspost(whichIthinkithaschancetogetabove$600inthefuturesincevaluationisjusttoocheap.)
FBistheoneIthinkisovervalued.Butthisearningreportissolid.ThequestionisthatiftheyalreadysawtheirbestQ.Priceactionwilltellprettysoon.GivingthisER,TWTRislikelytomelthigherintoitsearning(butlikelyadisappointingQ).
ThenitcomestoQQQ.IsitformingH/S...[阅读全文]
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The falling KING Dollar
(2014-04-16 18:21:30)

Everytime,whentherewascrisisoversea,therewasabigrunupinUS$whenpeopleseeksafetynet.However,since2013,itstoppedhappening.EspeciallywhenUSdecidetofreezesomeRussia'srichpeoplesannount,theweaknessinUS$becomeobvious.
US$iscrruentlyatcriticalsupport.Losingitcouldbeabigdeal.ItmightmeansthatUS'sinfluenceofworldstartstodisappear(obviouslyUSonlongercanhavefullcontrolofRussianorChina).Toproventthatfromhap...[阅读全文]
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'Sell in May' come in early
(2014-04-11 17:10:24)
Afteraveryshort3daysreboundsincemylastarticle,"SellinMay"themecomeinearly.Nasdaqlost4000.WithRusselandNasdaqlostnearly5%YTD(worstperformingindices).
Inmyfirstarticleof2014,Imentionedthatnasdaq,smallcaps,Japanaremostownedindices.Itturnsoutthattheseareworstperformersof2014.Matchingthetheorythatcrowdedtradesareworsttrades.
IalsomentionedthatFB/TWTR/NFLX/AMZN/TSLA/SCTY/CSIQetc.arelar...[阅读全文]
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Market at Support (3-30-2014)
(2014-03-30 15:46:25)

Afteraweekofselloff,marketiscurrentlynearsupport.Itlikelytohavesomereboundcoming.Indicatorsareoversoldwheneverybodyrunningforthedoor.
ButbeforepossiblesellinMaycoming,anotherbounceislikely.
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