博文
(2014-11-13 17:08:33)
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COP,CLR,EOG,RDS.A.
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WithRussellbreakssupporttoday,firsttimelongtimethismarketlooksvulnerable.Earningseasonisinfullplayrightnow.Sofar,ERisnotbad.
However,thismarketisveryunstable.Extremecautionneeded.
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(2014-09-29 16:11:45)

VIXiscloseto17.Withonemorespike,marketcouldsetinaneartermbottom(ifnotalreadytoday).Itmeansthatwhopanicsellinginlastfewdaysmightregretsoon.Itisnotthetimetopanic,buthavingshoppinglistreadyanddeploysomecash.[阅读全文]
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(2014-09-05 16:54:53)

NotsureabouttheFAmuchinthisname.Butrisk/rewardmightbeworthit.
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(2014-09-03 15:49:19)

BigreversalinAAPLwhobringQQQdownwithit.Itistimetotakesomeprofitincertainnames.S&P500crossupanddownof2000for7daysinarow.Timetotakesomecautiousandmayaddsomeprotection.
Iamupnearly50%inTWTR.Timetolockinsomeprofithere.Bearishengulfingisformedtoday.Alsoitisclosetowherebrokedownhappened.Probablywillhavesomeretracementbackto$44-45area.
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(2014-08-23 16:52:54)

Oneunderperformedsectorwithgovernmentontheirbackforquiteabit.Recentpenaltypayoutmightputthatbehindthem.PersonallyIwishgovernmentjustletthemallBKbackin2008whichwouldmakethisrecoveryaloteasier.
However,afterapreviousuptrendandrecentconsolidatingandbasing.2ndlegupmightbeontheway.Butthesebigbanksmayalreadybecomeutilities.Anditisverydifficulttofigureoutwhatareontheirbalancesheet.
Butgivingthatp...[阅读全文]
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V型反弹9天,基本没给散户任何机会建大仓.清掉仓的人会痛苦一段时间(一到两个月).追还是不追就是个问题.
在这个时候,最好的办法就是忍.但很多人会做不到.所以就一错再错.忍不住的最好办法就是控制仓位.此时就只能小仓位玩玩而已.
什么时候加保护呢?现在还不急.puts有时间消耗.何时加也需要时机.现在RSI还没到超买.向上动能很大.当pricemovesfasterthanindicator,持续时间会长[阅读全文]
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(2014-08-14 14:38:11)

MarketatresistancebutMACDisabouttocross.SincethecompletionofA-B-Ccorrectivepattern,thismarketdoesn'tgivepeopleanychancetorebuildposition.
Thisisexactlywhywecannotsellintopanic.Thistypeofmarketmakepeoplewhocannotsitveryunderperform.Somewhowentshortgotburnedonemoretime.Andevenmoreunderperform.Inlastweek'sAAIIsentiment,thereweremorethan40%bears.Thisweekitreducedto27%.Thistellsusthatindividualinve...[阅读全文]
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(2014-08-11 18:02:46)
Thereareafewmistakesweliketomakeoverandoveragainasanindividualinvestor.Imadethese
mistakesmorethanoncebefore.Inrecentyrs,Iwatchthesebadbehaviorscloselyandtrytoavoidthematallcost.Butstill,theywillcomebackandtestme.
Heretheyarebutnotleast:
1.Chasehotstocksandignorecrowdedtrade.
Hotstocksareusuallyovervalued.Whenindividualinvestorsstarttonoticethem,theyarealreadyinlatestage.Entirerall...[阅读全文]
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