今天大盘收盘是个十字星,典型的市场不确定性的标志。众所周知,十字星在顶部出现是明显的到顶信号,但在底部出现的时候需要一个上涨行情日来支持反转。S&P1175是一个支撑,如果不能守住,下一站就是1020。
1020刚好是低点683(09Mar)和高点1363(11Jul)的中间值,这里应该会有一个很强的支撑,毕竟现在的美国金融系统稳固的多,重演08年的市场,可能性不大。1175的支[
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今天计算了一下股票账户的收益,2010年底vs2009年底的Stock。
-涨了62%
-增长净值头一次达到了年工资的88%
原因分析:09年底时持有3只股票,10年的头3个季度还是同样的3只股票。
鞋类股(Growth,Turn-around)
住房建材股(Value)
计算机硬件(Growth)
都是SmallCap。不错的回报应该说还是归功于花时间研究年报,季报,新闻,评论等。
譬如研究鞋类股的话可以MonitorAm[
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lowerendhouse(priceunder300,000)hasseenpricefallby52.5%sincethemarketpeakin2006,returningtoApr2003level,accordingtoCase-Shillerindexes.
highendhoue(topthirdofthemarket,priceabove510,000)havefallenby27.3%fromthepeak,toMar2004level.
lowerendmarketgained5%overthelastQof2009.higherendmarketdropped0.5%.
结合历史数据LA的高端房价也接近底开始要上扬了(缓慢地。。。)。
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thestockisdownafterearningrelease:
-fiercecompetition(Apple/Android)
-highexpection,badrecord(6monthsagoearningreleasedown17%inaday)
-highgrowthinpast5yearsmeansthepriceisalreadypricedin
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FUQIhasreportedearningrecentlybuttheyhavesomeaccountingissue,thestocknosedived,down37%!whatanearningplay.thesalesgrownth/earninggrowthalllooksgreat,but...
FYI-FUQIisachinajewelryproducer.
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thisquarteris3%to4%
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in2009Techspendingdropped9%comparedwithadeclineinnominalgrossdomesticproductofaround1%.Techissettorisearound8%in2010,saidForrestorResearch.
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Nikewillreportearningtomorrowafterclose.
estimate:4.6B
Quitechallenge,shortNKE?Iwillnotdoitwithrealmoneyonthispredictionthough.
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computerprogramsscrutinizethepricingofhterelatedsecurities.forexample,sharesofExxonMobilandChevron,historicallytendtotradeinsimilardirections,sincetheirfateshingeonoilproductionandprices.ifExxon'sstockstartstorise,butChevron'sdoesn't,MedallionmightpurchaseChevronandsellExxonshort,hopingtobenefitasthetwostocksmovebackintoalignment.
returnis45%peryearfrom1988tonow.
[
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