空手一方客
收获了一种恬静的生活, 像一条波澜不惊的小河, 流过春夏 流过秋冬
这次大选，保守党的文宣最多也最滥。最著名的就是“小特鲁多还没有准备好”，正好也是最鳖脚的，只有不动脑子的“信”。因为谁都知道，哈珀上台前干过什么，在行政力上比小特鲁多可以说更嫩。如今，保守党民意较低，与其文宣的反面效果有很大的关系。
这次大选，加西有12位华裔参选。我认为，可以当选2到5人。当然，有能力的不一定就能当选，主要看所在区的对手实力。我欣赏的有：温哥华东区的自由党黄国治，但可能NDP关慧贞当选； 温哥华KINGSWAY区的自由党寇鸿九，他对财务税收的理解，是华人里顶级的，但对手老外也很强；Richmond东区的保守党赵锦荣，他对时事政策的掌控最到位；还有Pitt Meadows选区的绿党谭百昭。当然，反倒可能当选的华裔会是Wei Young， 关慧贞，黄陈小平，等。
从历史上看，自由党的经济人才是最多的，经济政策也比较活络，执政期间的经济一般表现都不错。保守党跟美国的屁股太近，会让加国失去很多可发展的机会。这次若哈珀上台的话，当个少数政府最好，否则他会步入莫若尼的大赤字时代。小特鲁特上台的话，也就是个少数政府。他们在竞选中的说词、承诺，听一半就行了。不要被他们承诺迷糊，也不要被他们对手的攻击所吓倒。
至于大麻问题，一般人把“归管”当成“合法化”理解。现在大麻交易地下非常猖獗，没有监管。而你“归管”的话，就涉及到“哪部分合法”的问题，是个两难的问题。谁涉及，谁就说不清，就会被对手妖化。那就只能放着不管，让它继续地下猖獗。这是个“悖论”式的问题。我们华人不该浅显理解。
其他问题，也就不多谈了。宣传贴很多，看法很表面。记住，去投票最重要，表达你的意思就是投出那一票。
附录----------下面是篇很不错的文字，原文照搬。
加拿大统计局有过去90多年的就业数据，哈珀排倒数第二
"Stephen Harper has had the worst growth rate of any prime minister since R.B. Bennett in the depths of the Great Depression and the worst record on job creation of any prime minister since World War II," — Liberal leader Justin Trudeau, almost every day since the campaign started.
"Stephen Harper has the worst job creation record since the Second World War and the worst economic growth record since The Great Depression." — NDP leader Tom Mulcair, almost every day since the campaign started.
Poor R.B. Bennett. He grew up impoverished, became a self-made millionaire through a successful law practice and rose through the political ranks to become Canada's 15th prime minister in October 1931, less than a year into the Great Depression. And now he is a punchline in political stump speeches.
Canada's labour force shrank in each of the first three years of Bennett's mandate, as did the overall economy.
The recovery in 1934 and 1935 meant there were slightly more jobs in the country when Bennett left compared to what he inherited, though GDP was still below 1930 levels.
The spin
The NDP and Liberals say Canada's 22nd prime minister, Stephen Harper, has the worst jobs and economic growth record of any of his predecessors since the days of Bennett.
What's more, while this election was billed as one about the economy, and while the Conservatives have been eager to talk about their record, they have more recently spent a lot of time stoking a debate around refugees, citizenship, niqabs, and "barbaric cultural practices."
And that is no coincidence, charge his rivals.
- Canada Votes: More election coverage
- Vote Compass: Find out where the parties stand on the issues
Harper "has the worst record on jobs creation since World War II," Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau said on Thursday. "He knows how to distract with fear and division, and that is something, quite frankly, that Canadians across the country are quite tired of."
For his part, NDP Leader Tom Mulcair accuses the Conservatives of using "weapons of mass deception" to avoid talking about the economy.
The counter-spin
Conservative leader Stephen Harper does actually continue to talk about the economy.
And, perhaps unsurprisingly, he remembers things differently.
The Conservative economic plan "brought us successfully through the worst global economic crisis since the 1930s," Harper says during his stump speech.
He points to 1.3-million "net new jobs," created since the "depths of the financial crisis."
Harper also says that "since that period, this country, Canada, has the best job creation record, the best growth and best income record of all of the major developed economies."
No coincidence
The fact both Mulcair and Trudeau are using very similar language around Harper's economic record is no accident — they are both citing the same study.
Unifor economist Jim Stanford and Jordan Brennan penned a report this summer that looked at economic data going back to 1946 — the final two years of Mackenzie King's time as prime minister and just after the end of the Second World War.
Stanford and Bennett chose the cut-off of 1946 in order to "try to exclude the impact of the unique demobilization of military and other government activities after the end of the war."
The economists dismissed the terms of John Turner, Joe Clark, and Kim Campbell with the logic that if they spent less than one full budget cycle (one year) in office, then we can't really judge their influence on the economy.
Of the remaining nine prime minister's studied, the author's averaged out all of the indicators on an annual basis so Pierre Trudeau's more than 15 years in office can be fairly compared to Paul Martin's 25 months in the job.
The report's conclusion: Harper comes dead-last in terms of job creation and GDP growth.
Statistics Canada does, however, have job and GDP numbers going back to 1921 — which brings in poor, old R.B. Bennett.
Over the lifetime of Bennett's government, after you smooth out the dip of the Great Depression and the spike of the ensuing recovery, the number of jobs in the country grew by an average of 0.46 per cent.
Harper has more than doubled that score — posting annual average job-growth of 1.1 per cent.
Alas, in the list of 10 prime ministers since and including Bennett, that is the second worst rate.
Bennett's economy shrank by an average of a little more than 2 per cent compared to 1.5 per cent annualized growth in Harper's time.
Much, much better, but — again — every prime minister between Bennett and Harper had a higher score on this.
The final rinse
All of that said, given that the financial crisis of 2008 was the worst economic catastrophe since the Great Depression, wouldn't it make sense that the economic indicators around that period would also be the worst since Bennett's day?
And just as Canada had no influence over the events that lead to Black Friday, which signaled the start of the Great Depression, our nation had no significant part in the mortgage and debt bubble that lead to the financial collapse in 2008.
We, and our prime ministers, were just along for the ride down.
What happens after a financial crisis is indeed influenced by what the government of the day does and is perhaps best viewed through the lens of how peer countries in similar situations come out the other side.
When it comes to Canada's track record among G7 partners, the results are debatable.
As we noted in an earlier Spin Cycle, Canada's unemployment rate in 2006, when Harper took over, stood at 6.3 per cent — fourth-best among the G7. Today, the jobless rate stands at 7.1 per cent — sliding Canada to fifth place in the G7. （2006年我们的失业率6.3%，G7中排第四；现在，我们的失业率7.1%，G7中排第五）。
纵向比，也要横向比。 多了解历史，多看清事实，让自己投的那一票要有价值。
