4/22: Update on QQQ/SPY

With the afterhours jump (over 450 with volume),  it is safer to assume we have completed blue "b". In fact, QQQ even touched 454 in afterhours. With this assumption, we could start to look forward to the push to Green A/Red B area (roughly QQQ 490)

454 is already within the target of what a wave 1 would be as the subwave to Green A. So, normally this could mean a wave 2 pullback should start from here. However, it is possible that market could extend itself further given the the news, and then start wave ii pullback.

These micro level movements impossible to figure out (the actual target below not accurate and only as illustrative purpose), but I think from here, market should favor "buy on dip" on the way to Green A

[三心三意]

回复 'lilidaisy' 的评论 :4/22日 博文里说了图中的点位只是“illustrative purpose”，当时波浪的结构还没出来，所以不能做出评估。波浪理论里面，我们更注重的是趋势和走势结构。

当我们有了比较明显的1，2浪后，你可以用它们为基础去估算

蓝色a.b 可以用来做参考估算higher degree 的波浪目标区， 但更精确的估算要在specific wave 里面 （也就是说c浪里面的1-2-3-4-5浪）

[lilidaisy]

请问您在蓝色C结构里 (4/21 至今), 您标注了 1-5 小浪, 第一浪 1 您标注到 0.5 FIB (454.24), 第三浪 3 在 1.272 (474.49), 这些FIB 是怎样算的? FIB 1 大概是 蓝色 a 的 位置, 但是 1.272 这个 474.49 是怎样算的. 我估计是对您用的 这个 FIB 的计算方法 不了解. 我一般都是 以蓝色a 和 b 为基础, 但是 却得不到你的结果. 我的计算是: 467.83 (4/9 high)-427.93 (4/21 low) = 39.9, 39.9*1.272+ 427.93 = 478.68. 谢谢?

[三心三意]

多谢。这样我也方遍找了：）

[axp]

谢谢分享到博客, made our life much easier!!!

[Olive_2]

感谢分享到博客，这样复习功课更容易了.

[这样子]

谢谢分享！今天冲到了463，收在了1的位置454.56