正文

Market conditions improved last week

(2026-01-01 17:09:40) 下一个

Market conditions improved last week, with risk indicators stable and 0 of 5 major crash catalysts visible on the horizon.

Historically, when technical readings are elevated but catalysts are absent, overbought conditions can persist longer than expected.

Key readings:
Market Breadth: 60.8% (stable, improving over recent weeks)
SP 500: $685.69 | +1.8 above trend
Divergence: 0.96 (positive, stable)
52-Week Highs: 209 stocks (stable)

Outside view:
Based on historical matches (AugNov 2019, Nov 2020Mar 2021, MayAug 2023), setups with price above trend, positive divergence, and improving support tended to drift higher over the next 24 months.

With 0 of 5 major crash catalysts visible, stretched technicals do not automatically imply imminent downside.

Forward guidance:
Maintain current positioning with selective additions on pullbacks (rather than aggressive accumulation).

[ 打印 ]
评论
目前还没有任何评论
登录后才可评论.