Poly Market Dec Fed Rate Cut Chance

As of the most recent market close data from Friday, November 21, 2025, the odds have swung back in favor of a cut.

Estimated Chance: ~71% (Rebounding from a low of ~30% earlier in the week)

Likely Outcome: 25 basis point (bps) cut

Key Driver: Dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams on Friday.