首先说结论，分析师认为，目前英伟达(NVDA)的估值并未处于泡沫水平，市场已经反映了其良好的执行力以及未来几年的部分增长预期。
在英伟达发布财报前不久，Polymarket数据显示，英伟达季度业绩超出预期的概率高达93%。
我相信，市场多数参与者早已预期到营收和每股收益（EPS）双双超预期。
但就分析师个人而言，之前仍不确定英伟达股价在财报发布后的表现（[阅读全文]
狮山巡礼
投资杂谈
博文
(2025-11-20 14:40:05)
(2025-11-20 14:10:52)
OneEarningsReportCantErasetheStockMarketsAIBubbleConcernsDontfighttheFedisafinancialmarketshibbolethmostinvestorslearnataveryearlystageintheircareer.
Thecentralbankmightbewronginitsassessmentofinflationpressuresandthejobmarket,butitmakestherulesnonetheless.Pushagainstitatyourperil.Nvidia
NVDA
-3.15%
seemstooccupyasimilarspaceinthefinancialmarketsthesedays.Astheworldsmost-valuablecom...[阅读全文]
NVDA
-3.15%
seemstooccupyasimilarspaceinthefinancialmarketsthesedays.Astheworldsmost-valuablecom...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 14:09:36)
TheStockMarketsFearGaugeIsStartingtoFlashThestockmarketsfeargaugespikedtoitshighestlevelsinamonth.
TheCBOEVolatilityIndex,orVIX,surgedashighas28.27onThursday,whichwasitshighestintradaylevelsinceOct.17.Itlaterpulledbackto26.05.
TheVIXmeasuresimpliedvolatilityinthemonthaheadintheSP500.Areadingaround20isconsiderednormalvolatility,sothefurthertheVIXrises,themorethingsstarttosignalheightene...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 13:53:53)
NasdaqSinks2.2%asNvidiaBumpEvaporatesAnearlystockmarketrallyfueledbyNvidiasearningsturnedouttobeamirageonThursday.
TheNasdaqCompositesank2.2%.TheSP500fell1.6%.TheDowJonesIndustrialAveragedropped386points,or0.8%.
Atonepoint,theNasdaqwasup2.6%,whiletheSPwasup1.9%andtheDowwasup1.6%;allthreeindexesmarkedtheirlargestreversalfromanintradayhightonegativeterritorysinceApril8,accordingtoDowJonesMar...[阅读全文]
TheNasdaqCompositesank2.2%.TheSP500fell1.6%.TheDowJonesIndustrialAveragedropped386points,or0.8%.
Atonepoint,theNasdaqwasup2.6%,whiletheSPwasup1.9%andtheDowwasup1.6%;allthreeindexesmarkedtheirlargestreversalfromanintradayhightonegativeterritorysinceApril8,accordingtoDowJonesMar...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 09:20:08)
FedlikelytonotcutratesinDecemberfollowingdelayedSeptemberdata,accordingtomarketodds
OddsofaDecemberratecutremainedlowfollowingthereleaseofdelayedjobsdata. Marketswerelastpricingabouta35%chanceofaquarter-pointcutfromtheFederalReservenextmonth,accordingtotheCMEFedWatchTool.Thatishigherthanthe30%likelihoodpricedinduringthepriorsession,butremainsweak.Thetoolusedfedfundsfuturestradingtocalculate...[阅读全文]
OddsofaDecemberratecutremainedlowfollowingthereleaseofdelayedjobsdata. Marketswerelastpricingabouta35%chanceofaquarter-pointcutfromtheFederalReservenextmonth,accordingtotheCMEFedWatchTool.Thatishigherthanthe30%likelihoodpricedinduringthepriorsession,butremainsweak.Thetoolusedfedfundsfuturestradingtocalculate...[阅读全文]
(2025-11-20 03:27:36)
当地时间11月18日晚，白宫东厅灯火通明。美国总统特朗普为到访的沙特王储穆罕默德本萨勒曼设宴，席间除传统政界高官，还多了几张科技圈面孔。其中最抢眼的就是埃隆马斯克，此外还有英伟达掌门人黄仁勋、苹果CEO库克、亚马逊总裁贝佐斯等。对外界来说，这不只是一次外交礼节性晚宴，更像是一次关于人工智能、芯片和中东算力布局的同框宣示。
几个月前，马斯克刚[阅读全文]
(2025-11-19 20:49:40)
(2025-11-19 19:20:47)
在投资者持续担心企业的人工智能（AI）领域超高投入难以为继之际，AI芯片龙头英伟达送来惊喜：上一财季营收加快增长，增速重回60%以上，和数据中心的收入均创单季新高，体现AI基础设施需求持续强劲，本财季的营收料将保持60%以上的增速，再度超出华尔街预期。 英伟达CEO黄仁勋在财报公告中表示，公司最新一代Blackwell架构的芯片销量远超预期，云端GPU已售罄，训练和[阅读全文]
(2025-11-19 19:18:13)
对科技股、比特币等风险资产，这或许是最重要的一张图
(2025-11-19 19:07:50)
货币将变得无关紧要了。
当埃隆马斯克在舞台上抛出这个石破天惊的论断时，全场先是静默随即一片哗然。
坐在他身旁的黄仁勋愣了一下，随即半开玩笑地接话：钱真没用的时候，记得提前通知我一声！台下爆发出一阵笑声，台上的二人干了个杯两位科技领袖关于未来的即兴探讨就此拉开帷幕。
2025年11月19日，美国华盛顿肯尼迪中心的美国-沙特投资论坛(U.S.-SaudiInvestmen[阅读全文]
