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Seasonality: NASDAQ FIrst and Second Half year performance

(2024-07-20 06:54:53) 下一个
In the past 34 years, starting from 1990,
 
  • NASDAQ never had a down year, if the first half of the year is positive
  • When NASDAQ is up by more than 10% in the first half of the year, it is also up by more than 10% in the second half of the year.
  • Even crazier, NASDAQ "never" had more than 10% of drop in second half, unless it also dropped by more than 10% in the first half.
Year First Half Performance (%) Second Half Performance (%) Total Annual Performance (%)
1990 -13.29% 6.55% -6.56%
1991 26.57% 21.62% 60.08%
1992 -7.45% 12.79% 5.07%
1993 5.87% 7.70% 13.90%
1994 -2.21% 0.70% -1.54%
1995 18.14% 14.32% 39.24%
1996 8.79% 15.65% 27.41%
1997 21.77% 26.84% 39.89%
1998 24.60% 24.59% 39.90%
1999 34.09% 80.85% 100.00%
2000 -14.63% -20.79% -39.29%
2001 -19.98% -5.86% -29.98%
2002 -23.55% -25.29% -43.12%
2003 14.18% 33.53% 50.01%
2004 -1.15% 5.89% 4.29%
2005 -0.04% 2.89% 2.85%
2006 -0.35% 7.60% 7.15%
2007 5.49% 4.93% 10.66%
2008 -13.28% -17.19% -28.04%
2009 24.93% 44.37% 83.36%
2010 -6.82% 16.45% 4.91%
2011 -8.04% -8.03% -15.50%
2012 7.10% 10.17% 22.14%
2013 11.26% 29.95% 38.70%
2014 1.70% 9.76% 14.75%
2015 9.10% -6.54% 0.24%
2016 -2.07% 6.09% 3.98%
2017 17.13% 14.09% 28.24%
2018 5.95% -4.83% 1.18%
2019 21.60% 20.94% 35.23%
2020 15.12% 45.13% 43.64%
2021 11.48% 11.31% 22.52%
2022 -29.56% -11.54% -33.10%
2023 10.75% 29.75% 43.88%
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