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科学能揭示恐怖分子的哪些心理特征

(2025-11-05 03:37:07) 下一个

科学能揭示恐怖分子的哪些心理特征

科拉尔·丹多,威斯敏斯特大学心理学教授,2017年5月26日

https://theconversation.com/what-science-can-reveal-about-the-psychological-profiles-of-terrorists-78304

披露声明

科拉尔·丹多教授不为任何可能从本文中获益的公司或组织工作、提供咨询、持有股份或接受资助,除其学术职务外,未披露任何其他相关关系。

威斯敏斯特大学作为英国对话平台(The Conversation UK)的成员提供资助。

本周,自杀式炸弹袭击者萨尔曼·阿贝迪在曼彻斯特引爆炸弹,造成22人死亡。在爆炸发生前,他的脑子里究竟在想些什么?我们起初常常把恐怖分子视为非人类、怪物。但当我们了解到他们看似是拥有家庭和工作的普通人时,就很难不去思考他们的内心世界究竟是如何运作的。

在20世纪70年代和80年代,探寻恐怖分子的“人格”或“思维模式”主导了心理学研究,时至今日,这仍然是一个重要的研究领域。一项发表在《自然人类行为》杂志上的新研究评估了66名因实施恐怖活动而被监禁的哥伦比亚准军事人员的认知和心理特征,该研究认为,道德推理能力低下才是恐怖分子的本质特征。

这类研究背后的理念显而易见——旨在识别恐怖分子人格的稳定、可预测的特征或“标志”。如果我们能够做到这一点,或许就能预测谁会成为恐怖分子,甚至可能阻止他们的发生。但包括我在内的许多心理学家对这类研究持极其谨慎的态度。进行此类研究的研究人员通常会在各种情境下使用大量的心理测量方法、人格测试和智商测试。但对于这些测试的有效性,目前尚无共识。

即便我们真的找到了恐怖分子的标志,我们又该如何利用这些知识呢?难道我们要终生接受测试吗?如果我们有一个标记会怎样?

大规模杀人犯安德斯·布雷维克的上诉案。LISE AASERUD/EPA

“恐怖分子思维”这个术语本身就存在问题,因为它助长了恐怖分子不正常的观念,导致人们本能地试图找出这种“异常”。对心理学家来说,“异常”意味着存在某种障碍、缺陷或疾病,使恐怖分子“病态”或与众不同。这种观点似乎合情合理,因为它有助于我们理解极端行为。

但恐怖暴行无疑是一系列事件的终点,只有在事后看来,这些事件才具有意义。如果我们只关注事件本身,关注恐怖分子当时的行为或他们在行凶前的心理状态,我们的理解就会被扭曲。这是因为我们忽略了成为恐怖分子的过程。

由学者撰写,记者编辑,并有证据支持

关于哥伦比亚准军事组织的研究

当然,在袭击发生前抓获恐怖分子并非易事。因此,大多数研究都集中在已被抓获或被怀疑是恐怖分子的人身上。这项新研究正是如此。被监禁的哥伦比亚准军事组织成员完成了一系列社会认知测试,并建立了个人档案——包括对道德认知、智商、执行功能、攻击性行为和情绪识别能力的评估。然后,研究人员将他们与66名非犯罪人员进行了比较。

研究人员发现,恐怖分子的攻击性水平高于非犯罪人员,而情绪识别能力则低于非犯罪人员。然而,两组在智商或执行功能方面没有发现差异。恐怖分子与另一组之间最大的差异体现在道德认知上——研究发现,恐怖分子过度依赖结果。作者认为,这种扭曲的道德推理——即“目的可以证明手段正当”——是恐怖分子思维的“标志”。他们通过让参与者根据不合理攻击程度对各种故事进行评分来评估其道德判断能力。

照片中是1991年至2008年间在哥伦比亚冲突中被游击队或准军事组织杀害的受害者的亲属。(图片来源:EPA/Luis Eduardo Noriega)

研究结果引人入胜,似乎也符合直觉。但我们无法确定这种人格特征是否是监禁造成的——我们知道监狱会扭曲认知。如果不是监禁造成的,那么这种人格特征是与生俱来,还是在加入恐怖组织之前逐渐形成的?

这些问题无法解答,但却至关重要。此类备受瞩目的研究的标题可能会误导人,甚至适得其反。尽管“恐怖分子是精神病患者或患有人格障碍”的说法颇具吸引力,但目前尚无科学依据支持这一观点。研究结果往往相互矛盾——一些研究人员认为他们的发现表明恐怖分子有自杀倾向,而另一些研究人员则声称他们性格外向、情绪不稳定、放荡不羁、好斗、防御心强或自恋。

事实上,精神病理学

行为更有可能与恐怖主义议程相冲突而非为其提供帮助——毕竟,恐怖主义依赖于承诺、动机和纪律。

激进化的心理学

许多心理学家认为,恐怖袭击发生前几年发生的事件,即所谓的激进化过程,对于解释一个人为何会转向政治暴力最为重要。然而,恐怖主义心理学的研究尚不深入。现有的概念模型缺乏实证支持,而且往往局限于特定的极端主义团体和意识形态。

越来越多的心理学家开始相信,一些关键的心理因素是激进化过程的基础。这些因素包括动机、群体意识形态以及促使人们逐渐疏远昔日朋友的社会过程。与其试图通过测量来预测,我们或许应该将资源投入到更好地理解是什么驱使个人加入暴力极端主义的行列。是人类渴望被认可的基本需求驱使人们去寻找与自己有着相似经历的人吗?心理学证据表明,对意义的追求或许确实是极端主义行为的重要驱动因素。

所谓的“伊斯兰国”(IS)。图片来源:Alibaba2k16/wikipedia,CC BY-SA

然而,显而易见的是,许多复杂因素与激进化直接或间接相关。人格和认知能力会随时间变化,因此似乎与预测无关。但值得注意的是,由于认知障碍、残疾或精神疾病,社会上的许多人容易受到恐怖组织的操纵和控制,从而实施恐怖行为。

鉴于恐怖主义的复杂性和不断演变的特性,承认预测可能永远不可能,或许有助于改进该领域的研究。高质量的心理学研究旨在寻找激进化过程的标志,例如着装、行为和社交圈的变化——这些变化似乎在阿贝迪等人身上有所体现——可能会卓有成效。事实上,去激进化方案在反恐斗争中正变得越来越重要。

幸运的是,我们对恐怖分子寻求意义的探索了解得越多,就越能理解激进化背后的身份认同和社会问题。因此,我们完全有理由乐观地认为,心理学可以成为反恐斗争中的有力工具。

What science can reveal about the psychological profiles of terrorists

 Professor of Psychology, University of Westminster  May 26, 2017 

https://theconversation.com/what-science-can-reveal-about-the-psychological-profiles-of-terrorists-78304?

 

 

Disclosure statement

Coral Dando does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

University of Westminster provides funding as a member of The Conversation UK.

What went though the mind of the suicide bomber Salman Abedi just before he blew himself up in Manchester this week, killing 22 people? We often dismiss terrorists as non-humans, monsters, at first. But when we learn that they were seemingly normal individuals with families and jobs, it’s hard not to wonder about how their minds really work.

The search for a terrorist “personality” or “mindset” dominated psychological research in the 1970s and 1980s and remains a significant area for research today. A new study published in Nature Human Behaviour, which assessed the cognitive and psychological profiles of 66 Colombian paramilitaries imprisoned for committing terrorist acts, now argues that poor moral reasoning is what defines terrorists.

The idea behind such research is obvious – it’s to identify stable, predictive traits or “markers” of terrorist personalities. If we could do that, we may be able to predict who will become a terrorist – and perhaps prevent it. But this type of research is viewed by many psychologists, myself included, with extreme caution. Researchers carrying out such studies typically use a myriad of psychometric measures, personality and IQ tests in various contexts. But there’s no consensus on how useful these tests are.

And even if we did manage to pin down terrorist markers, what would we do with this knowledge? Would we all be tested across our lifespan? What would happen if we had a marker?

Appeal case of mass murderer Anders Breivik. LISE AASERUD/EPA

The term “terrorist mindset” is also problematic because it fuels the notion that terrorists are abnormal, resulting in knee-jerk endeavours to uncover the abnormality. For psychologists, abnormal suggests presence of a disorder, deficit or illness which makes terrorists “sick” or different. This idea seems plausible because it helps us come to terms with extreme behaviour.

But terrorist atrocities are undoubtedly the end of a chain of events which only achieve significance with the benefit of hindsight. By focusing on the event itself, how the terrorist was behaving at that time or how he/she may have been thinking in the immediate run up, our understanding becomes distorted. This is because the process of becoming a terrorist has been overlooked.

Written by academics, edited by journalists, backed by evi

Study on Colombian paramilitaries

Of course it’s not easy to get hold of terrorists prior to an attack. Most research therefore concerns terrorists that have been caught or are suspected terrorists. The new study did just this. Imprisoned Columbian paramilitaries completed a battery of social-cognitive tests, creating individual profiles – including assessments of moral cognition, IQ, executive functioning, aggressive behaviour and emotion recognition. They were then compared with 66 non-criminals.

The researchers found terrorists had higher levels of aggression and lower levels of emotion recognition than non-criminals. However, no differences were found between the groups for IQ or executive functioning. The biggest difference between the terrorists and the other group was seen in moral cognition – they found that terrorists are guided by an abnormal over-reliance on outcomes. The authors argue that this distorted moral reasoning – that the ends justify the means – is the “hallmark” of a terrorist mindset. They assessed moral judgement by asking participants to rate various stories according to levels of unjustified aggression.

Relatives of a victim killed in a Colombian conflict by guerrilla or paramilitaries between 1991 and 2008. EPA/Luis Eduardo Noriega

The results are intriguing and seem intuitive. But we cannot be sure that this profile wasn’t a result of their incarceration – we know that prison distorts cognition. If not, was it present from birth or did it develop in the run up to becoming part of a terrorist group?

These questions cannot be answered, yet they are fundamental. Headline statements from high-profile research of this nature can be misleading and counter-productive. Despite its appeal, there is no scientific support for the idea that terrorists are psychopaths or have a personality disorder. Often research is contradictory – some researchers argue that their findings show terrorists to be suicidal while others claim they are extrovert, unstable, uninhibitedaggressive, defensive or narcissistic.

In fact, psycho-pathological behaviours are more likely to conflict with a terrorist agenda than aid it – it after all relies on commitment, motivation and discipline.

The psychology of radicalisation

Many psychologists believe that the events which occur in the years before a terrorist attack, referred to as radicalisation, offer most in terms of trying to answer why a person might turn to political violence. However, the psychology of terrorism is not well advanced. There is little empirical evidence to support existing conceptual models – and they are often limited to particular extremist groups and ideologies.

More and more psychologists are now beginning to believe that a number of key psychological components are fundamental to the radicalisation process. These include motivation, group ideologies and social processes that encourage progressive distancing from former friends, for example. Rather than measuring to predict, we might be better off devoting resources to improve understanding of what motivates individuals to join the ranks of violent extremists. Is it the fundamental human need to matter that makes people seek out others who share their reality? Psychological evidence indicates the quest for significance may indeed be an important driver of extremist behaviour.

The so-called Islamic State (IS). Alibaba2k16/wikipediaCC BY-SA

However, it is clear that a number of complicated factors are directly and indirectly related to radicalisation. Personality and cognitive performance may change over time and therefore seem irrelevant for prediction purposes. But it is important to note that many in society are vulnerable to being manipulated and managed by terrorist groups to perform terrorist acts because of a cognitive impairment, disability or mental illness.

Accepting that prediction may never be possible because of the complex, evolving nature of terrorism might improve the nature of research in this domain. Quality psychological research aimed at searching for markers of the radicalisation process, such as changes in dress, behaviour and social circles – which appear to have been present in the case of Abedi and others – may be fruitful. Indeed de-radicalisation schemes are increasingly important in the fight against terrorism.

Luckily, the more we find out about terrorists’ quest for significance the better we can understand the identity and social issues that are fundamental to radicalisation. So there’s every reason to be optimistic that psychology can be a powerful tool in the fight against terrorism.

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