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美股趋势跟踪。(2/17/2019)

(2019-02-17 18:57:56) 下一个

美股走势猜想:
1,美股走势进入GREED MODEL,就是俗话所说的融涨阶段。历史上,融涨100%都是以暴跌或崩盘为结局。
     
 
如果这次的融涨能够软着陆,那么融涨之后暴跌或崩盘的概率将改为99%。
     
 
2,美股还有没有继续上涨的可能?答案是有。主要原因是CNN恐慌指数只有70。偏高,但是还没有达到高的极致。
     
 
该指数每年都是有几次上冲80的贪婪情景。本次上冲75的可能性很大。
     
一,大盘综述。        
         
INDEX VALUE NOTE
WEEKLY TREND   UP
DATLY TREND   UP,UP,UP
HOURLY TREND   UP,UP,UP
MARKET MOOD 8 OPTIMISM
MONEY FLOW 6 POSITIVE
GREED & FEAR (STOCK BREADTH) 90% GREED
GREED & FEAR (VIX) 15 GREED
GREED & FEAR (CNN MONEY) 70 N/A
PUT /CALL RATIO 1:1.66 GREED
         
二,大盘趋势追踪。        
         
    TREND VALUE TREND NOTE
死皮 SPY 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
老道 DIA 8 TREND UP OVER BOUGHT
GREEDY
纳斯达克 QQQ 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
小罗 IWM 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
中型股 MDY 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
微型股 IWC 6 TREND UP OVER BOUGHT
GREEDY
         
三,板块趋势追踪。        
         
耐用消费品 XLY 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
日常消费品 XLP 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
能源 XLE 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
金融 XLF 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
医疗保健 XLV 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
科技 XLK 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
工业 XLI 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
材料 XLB 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
公用事业 XLU 10 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
电信网络 VOX 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
地产 IYR 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
交通 IYT 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
房建 XHB 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
电子元件 SMH 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
国防工业 ITA 8 TREND UP OVER BOUGHT
GREEDY
高科技 FNG -1 RANGE SHORT AND HEDGE
大麻 HMMJ 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
制药 PPH 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
机器人 ROBO 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
银行 KBE 6 TREND UP OVER BOUGHT
GREEDY
         
四,商品趋势追踪。        
         
黄金 GLD 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
白银 SLV 8 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
石油 USO 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
天然气 UNG -2 RANGE FEAR
国债 TLT 10 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
美元 UUP 8 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
欧元 FXE -6 RANGE SHORT AND HEDGE
农作物 DBA -5 RANGE SHORT AND HEDGE
         
五,QQQ成份股趋势追踪。
       
         
  MSFT 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  AAPL -2 TREND DOWN SHORT AND HEDGE
  AMZN -4 TREND DOWN SHORT AND HEDGE
  GOOG 0 RANGE WAIT TO BUY
  FB -2 TREND DOWN
GREEDY
  GOOGL 0 RANGE OVER SOLD
  INTC 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  CSCO 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  PEP 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  CMCSA 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  AMGN 4 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
  NFLX 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  ADBE 8 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
  AVGO 10 TREND UP
GREEDY
  PYPL 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  TXN 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  COST 6 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  NVDA 6 TREND UP OVER SOLD
GREEDY
  GILD -1 RANGE SHORT AND HEDGE
  BKNG 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  SBUX 10 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
  QCOM 2 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  CHTR 10 TREND UP
GREEDY
  WBA 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  BIIB 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  MDLZ 10 TREND UP
GREEDY
  TSLA 0 TREND UP PERFECT TO BUY
  ADP 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  ISRG 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  TMUS 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  KHC 0 RANGE WAIT TO BUY
  CSX 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  INTU 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  FOXA 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  BIDU 3 TREND UP OVER SOLD
  ILMN 2 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  CELG 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  VRTX 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  REGN 8 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  FOX 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  MAR 6 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  CTSH 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
  MU 6 TREND UP
GREEDY
  ATVI 0 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  AMAT -4 TREND DOWN
GREEDY
  ADI 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  SVXY 6 TREND UP READY TO BUY
  FISV 8 TREND UP
GREEDY
  ADSK 10 TREND UP
GREEDY
  ORLY 10 TREND UP READY TO BUY
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