弯曲房价之我见

我们搬到弯曲十几年了。来得早不如来得巧。我们刚搬来是正是弯曲房价开始上扬时，又因为是工作调动，公司有很好的relocation packege,买房有很多补贴。真是不买白不买，所以很快就买了房。自那以后就看着房价不停的涨了十几年直到去年底。那么今后几年弯曲的房价会不会crash呢？

我认为今后几年总的来说弯曲房价也许会持平,或小降，而不会像Los Vegas 或 Florid 等地那样大跌。原因是：

1。弯曲集天时地利、人和的优势：气候好、自然条件优越是天时地利；公司云集、高工资工作机会多是人和。俺以前也在东部待过好些年。个人看法是北加州的气候、地理、环境得天独厚，是居家的上选。就冲着上天给的这么好的条件，今天有高科技在这里发展起来，明天高科技没了，也会有其他的什么东东在这里发展。就是都没了，有钱人也会将此地建成他们的乐园. 对人类来说，mother nature is the queen.

2。Limited land vs. big demand created by job opportunities.
3。也是与LV，FL很不同的是：very few speculators (投资房），it has lowest % of investment properties compare to all other hot real estate areas. As long as the job is here, the housing market will not crash. At this time, over all economy is good for the companies in the Valley, so it's very unlikely the job market will disappear like 2000 hi-tech bubble burst. Even during the hi-tech crash years, Silicon Valley's house price (lagged 2 years) only dipped a little bit in 2002 (less than 5%) and recovered quickly after.

[日出江花红]

好文。下面是不是到汉中了？