新叶投旅笔记

3 C's of life: choice, chance, and change.
个人资料
博文
(2025-05-31 12:26:45)

从2024美国选举到2025Trump的Tariff,市面上的NOISEisabitoverwelming. AccordingtoFactSetandasoflastweek: TheS&Phasreportedearningsgrowthof12.9%onaverage 78%ofS&P500companieshavebeatenEPSestimates Only8companieshavewithdrawnestimatesorarenotupdatingforFY2025 Newsagenciescouldgivearat’spatootieaboutwhetheryoumakemoneyornot. Theymakeagoodchunkofchangebyconstantlycy...[阅读全文]
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(2025-05-31 11:37:46)
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(2025-05-29 18:13:27)

后记: Whatyouwanttobeaskingyourselfthismomentiswhyyouwouldn’tbuyit. Cybersecurityisa$4-6trilliondollarproblemthatisgettingworseeveryday There’sanattackevery39secondsgloballyaccordingtovarioussourcesbutIexpectthattodropbyhalfwithinthenext12months Everythingwithachipinitfromyourrefrigeratortoyourcar,yourphoneandyourretirementaccountisatrisk ------------------------...[阅读全文]
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TnVLxAuq4_c&t=248s [阅读全文]
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(2025-05-29 07:57:50)
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(2025-05-28 21:16:36)
SchoolofHardKnocks https://www.youtube.com/@theschoolofhardknocks/shorts https://www.youtube.com/shorts/kGAXUaLBPyo? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q7sSi9h6nYM NikeshArora|All-InSummit2024 https://www.youtube.com/@syzthefuture? SyztheFuture https://youtube.com/shorts/kGAXUaLBPyo?si=YmWL3TfyKZ86k_bk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pwk5MPE_6zE JPwi...[阅读全文]
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(2025-05-28 12:35:44)
Itisnotthatlifeisbrief,butthatwesquandermuchofit.Lifeislongenough,andwearegrantedampletimetoachievegreatthingsifweinvestitwisely.Yetwhenwefritteritawayincarelessindulgenceoridlepursuits,wearejoltedbydeath’sfinalitytorealizeitslippedthroughourfingersbeforeweevennoticed.Thetruthisthis:wearenotgivenashortlife,butweshortenitourselves;wearenotdeprivedoftime,butwastefulwithit.Lifeislongifyouknowho...[阅读全文]
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(2025-05-28 11:47:02)
Impliedvolatility(IV)isameasureofthemarket'sexpectationofastock'soroption'sfuturepricefluctuations,derivedfromthepricesofoptionsonthatasset.Itreflectstheanticipatedvolatilityoftheunderlyingassetovertheoption'slifespan,expressedasanannualizedpercentage.HigherIVindicatesgreaterexpectedpriceswings,oftenduetoupcomingeventslikeearningsreportsormarketuncertainty,whilelowerIVsuggestsmores...[阅读全文]
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(2025-05-28 10:20:32)

“Peoplearesobusytryingtopredicttheunpredictablethattheyforgettothinkabouttheprofitable,evenifit’ssmackinfrontofthem.“ "Largevolumetraderscaneasilyshapelowtimeframeperformance.Theywillmanipulatethebeansoutoftheprice." Peoplewiththedeepestpocketswhocanpushthepricethemostarealsothepeoplewiththebestinformation. Therichestpeopleintheworldhavethemostexpensiveandcompe...[阅读全文]
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(2025-05-28 09:44:52)

不出所料:2025-06-03CRWDafterER The6%after-marketdeclineinCrowdStrikeHoldings,Inc.(CRWD)stockonJune3,2025,wasprimarilydrivenbythecompany'sweaker-than-expectedguidanceforfiscalyear2026,despitereportingstrongQ1results.Herearethekeyfactorscontributingtothedrop: 1.**DisappointingEarningsGuidance**:CrowdStrikeissuedguidanceforFY26withadjustedearningspershare(EPS)of$3.44–$3.56,si...[阅读全文]
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