狮山巡礼
投资杂谈
博文
(2025-10-07 12:42:57)
Tesla(TSLA.O)unveiledmoreaffordableversionsofitsbest-sellingModelYSUVanditsModel3sedanonTuesdayat$39,990and$36,990,respectively,astheelectric-vehiclemakerseekstoreversefallingsalesandwaningmarketshareamidrisingcompetition.
MARKETREACTION:
Teslasharesdropped4.3%inafternoontrading.
TheSP500(.SPX)wasdown0.4%whiletheNasdaqfell0.7%.
COMMENTS:
BRIANMULBERRY,SENIORCLIENTPORTFOLIOMANAGER,ZA...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 10:19:50)
重读经典《下一只大牛股》
迈克尔莫的《下一个大牛股》是一本讨论如何投资像星巴克那样成长型公司的书。因为它的英文书名原本就是找寻下一个星巴克：如何识别和投资未来的热门股。莫是可发展合作伙伴投资公司董事长兼CEO。莫将他的二十年投资实践浓缩为发现超新星：鉴别和投资那些有望成为大企业的小企业，莫将其称为未来之星。寻找这样的企业最有可能带来[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 06:54:14)
andHigherPriceTargets
Teslasconsensusanalystpricetargethasrecentlyincreasedfrom$331.58to$350.50.Thisupdatereflectsamodestupwardrevisioninthestocksfairvalueandfollowsstrongthird-quartervehicledeliveries,alongwithrenewedoptimismamongmanyWallStreetanalysts.StaytunedtodiscoverhowyoucanstayinformedasthenarrativearoundTeslasvaluationcontinuestoevolve.
WhatWallStreetHasBeenSaying
InthewakeofT...[阅读全文]
Teslasconsensusanalystpricetargethasrecentlyincreasedfrom$331.58to$350.50.Thisupdatereflectsamodestupwardrevisioninthestocksfairvalueandfollowsstrongthird-quartervehicledeliveries,alongwithrenewedoptimismamongmanyWallStreetanalysts.StaytunedtodiscoverhowyoucanstayinformedasthenarrativearoundTeslasvaluationcontinuestoevolve.
WhatWallStreetHasBeenSaying
InthewakeofT...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 04:17:38)
Ina2025study,MichaelMauboussinsharedtwocasestudies:NvidiaandFootLocker.Theformersuggestspainmayprecedeanextendedperiodofabnormalshareholderreturns;thelatterindicatesthepainmaypersist.Bothstockssuffereddrawdownsof90%,butNvidiaultimatelybecamethebest-performingSP500stockinthe20yearsendingin2024,whileFootLockerwasacquiredat30%ofitspeakprice.
Nvidia:ThePrecursortoTriumph
Nvidia,aleaderintheGPUan...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 03:00:04)
Thistranscript,featuringCitadelCEOKennethGriffin,offersasharpcommentaryoncurrentmarketexuberance,therisksofsuddencorrections,andacautiouslong-termoutlookontheAIboom,drawingparallelstothedot-comera.
MarketExuberanceandtheRiskofaSuddenCrash
Griffinopensbystatingthemarketisdeepinabullmarket,characterizedbysignificantFOMO(FearofMissingOut).Hewarnsagainstthenaivetendencytobelievethemarketwillsimp...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 02:16:42)
TeslastockpoppedafterthecompanyreleasedapairofteasersonXpromisinganannouncementonTuesday,Oct.7.
Onepostshowedtheheadlightsofavehiclewithswirlingsmoke.AnotherpostshowedafanorwheelwiththeTeslalogospinninginthecenter.OddsarethatTeslawillunveilitslower-pricedvehiclethatithasbeenpromisingforyears.
Teslacoulduseanewmodelrightnow.Vehiclesalesdeclinedgloballyin2024andareonpaceforanotherdec...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 02:13:03)
EarningsAreComing.WallStreetHopesStrongProfitsCanKeeptheMarketRallyGoing.
ItsalmosttimeforCorporateAmericatogetitsquarterlyreportcardfromWallStreetearningsseasonisrightaroundthecorner.Thereareasmatteringofmajorcompaniesreportingresultsforthethirdquarterthisweek,buttheearningsdelugereallykicksintheweekofOctober13. ThatswhenBigBanksandfinancialfirmsJPMorganChase JPM +0.21% ,Goldm...[阅读全文]
ItsalmosttimeforCorporateAmericatogetitsquarterlyreportcardfromWallStreetearningsseasonisrightaroundthecorner.Thereareasmatteringofmajorcompaniesreportingresultsforthethirdquarterthisweek,buttheearningsdelugereallykicksintheweekofOctober13. ThatswhenBigBanksandfinancialfirmsJPMorganChase JPM +0.21% ,Goldm...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-07 02:09:02)
TheTechnologySelectSectorSPDRETFsvaluationincreasedfrom21timesto28timesnextyearsearningsestimatessincelate2022. Nvidiasmarketvaluereached$4.5trillion,whileOpenAIsrecentfinancingroundvalueditat$500billion. TheNasdaq100indextradesat28times2026earningsestimates,comparedwith47timesinFebruary2000.
Thefunpartsaboutblowingabubbleareseeinghowbigitcangetandhowlongittakestopop.Thesameappearst...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-06 13:33:46)
ElonMusksTeslapostedapairofsocialmediavideosovertheweekendthatteaseanunspecifiedannouncementforTuesday.
TeslasmainaccountonX,theMusk-ownedsocialmediaplatform,postedavideoearlySundaymorningofawheelorfanshowingTeslaslogostartingtospinbeforeaccelerating.
Thevideothengoestoblackwiththedate10/7displayed,suggestinganannouncementofsomesortonOct.7.
TeslapostedasecondvideolateronSundaythatshowedac...[阅读全文]
(2025-10-06 12:26:08)
虽然熊市比牛市总体上要短但如何应对熊市才是决定一个投资者是否成功的关键.
我一直认为timeinthemarketismoreimportantthantimingthemarket,opportunitycosttoohigh.这也意味着我从不择时也就不可能逃过熊市，那么我又是如何应对的呢？
1.家里一定要留足emergencyfund，一旦面临熊市不会因为急用钱而去卖已经跌得很多的股票.
2.不论牛市还是熊市买卖一个股票的决定都是基于同样的逻辑：[阅读全文]
