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越王剑
越王剑
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Is Natural Gas Topping?
(2014-02-24 18:22:38)

Lastnight,NGfuturejumped5%higher.Butattheendoftheday,itlost11%.Suchbigswingusuallyindicatesweakness.AnotherindicatoristhatDQisparticularlybullishaboutit.Somesaysitisgoingto$8.Well,USenergycompaniescontinuetoproduceNGatimpressivepace.Oncethecoldweathermoveson,excessiveNGwillcontinuetocome.Atthispoint,bullsneedtobeverycautious.However,3XinverseETFdecaysfast.Soonceadropathand,tradeonDGAZshouldbeclose...[阅读全文]
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Market at resistance (02-19-2014)
(2014-02-19 16:02:50)

Wehasareversaltodayrightaroundresistance.Takingoutthisresistancewouldmeanthat1900isathand.Butitislikelytopullbacktosupport.Thesupportlineis1780.
UseTWM/DGAZtohedgedownsideriskwithstopoftoday'slow.
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传说中的V型反转
(2014-02-15 14:37:28)

传说中的V型反转居然实现啦.但52周新高的股票仍在减少.2014年大宗商品大幅领先.现在阻力和支撑已经明显.
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Market support is broken
(2014-02-03 17:16:01)

Unfortunately,supportisbrokentoday.Iwasexpectingabounceto1825toformtherightshoulder,butitdidn'thappen.Instead,stopsgottriggeredoneafteranother.Nowmarketison3rdwavedown.Wave1:from1850to1775,wave2:from1775to1795,wave3:startedfrom1795.Wave3isusuallythemostpowerfulwave.Firsttargetis1710-1725areawhichiasalso200movingaverage.IfFriday'sjobreportispoor(Delllikelytoannouncealayoffofnorth15,000jobssoon),itc...[阅读全文]
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Market at Support (1-30-2014)
(2014-01-30 16:24:43)

Mostmajorsectorsareatsupport.Momentum,Put/Callratio,VIXindicatethatmarketisatsupport.Breakdownfromthislevelwillbringmoreconcernsoftheuptrend.
Butifmarketindeedreboundsfromhere,wehavetoseehowhighitcanreach.Since2012,whenmarketstartstobounce,therewerenobigpullbacksontheway.Marketwentstraightupwithoutpausewhichleftmanypeopleonthestation.Let'sseewhatitdoesthistime.
Reboundtargetis1825onS&P...[阅读全文]
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利用Pattern识别危险
(2014-01-22 19:37:47)

虽然并不是每次都应验,但是一些常见图形确实可以帮助规避风险.感觉风险靠近是散户应该培养的素质.
BBY'scommonH/Sbearishpattern.Alsoanalystswerewidelybullishonthisoneofthebestperformerin2013.ButweknowretailersareintroublebackinNov2013.Althoughittookalittletimeforthisbabytoplayout(30%dropinoneday).Nowaround$24-25,thisoneisnolongerexpensive.
Thereactionmightbetodramatic,whereopportunityshowsup.Expe...[阅读全文]
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2014 First Q Earnings
(2014-01-18 09:00:37)
Sofar,earningseasonhasbeendisappointing.Resultfrombanksaremixed.MS/BACaregood.Cisterriable.GS/JPMareflat.Therearesomesellingpressueinbankingstocks,butnothingun-usual.
Theproblemisconcentratedinretailsector.Entiresectorisunderserioussellingpressue.
GE/COF/UPS/INTCreporteddisappointingearningalso.WhichgiveswarningsignstoUSstocks.
UStreasuryisturningaroundwhichindicatessoftpathahead.
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Portfolio(1402) Watch
(2014-01-08 16:34:38)

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Portfolio(1401) Watch
(2014-01-05 06:47:52)

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我对金矿的一点小小看法
(2014-01-01 18:53:59)

2013-03-02:小心别在金矿上吃亏太多2014-01-01:GDXisnear2008low.ButDUSTisnowherenearrecenthigh.Tripplebearsisnogoodasshortingvehichleoverall(waywayshortoffutures).[阅读全文]
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