博文
Now what
(2007-10-31 19:08:40)
TheFEDgavewhatmarketwantedbuttookawaythecertaintyofanotherratecut(italldatadependentfromnowonagain).Nowthatthesuspenseisgone,Itisthetimetodoarealitycheck.
Therearestillalotofbullsoutthere,thisissoevidentbythefactthattheanynewsisagoodnews.Everypieceofnewsisspinnedtofavorthebulls.
Techisstillstrong,itisbelievedthatthetechwillnotbeaffectedbythefinancialwoesandthelowerdollarwillhelptechexport....[阅读全文]
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All eye are on FED
(2007-10-30 19:19:52)
Ok,tomorrowistheday.Eventhoughthereweremoreactionstodaythanexpected.
Themarketisknowntobevulnerabletotherumors,speculationslately.andtoday,theWSJspeculatethattheratecutbyFEDwasnotasurething,andmarketreacteddisappointedly.
Itbegsthequestionthenwhatcouldhappenifthatspeculationisreallytrue.Basedontoday\'sreaction,itisnotdifficulttoimaginethatthemarketisgoingtoselloff.
Theconventionalwisdo...[阅读全文]
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All I do is wait for you..
(2007-10-29 18:02:47)
Donotconfusethatwithlovesong,ChairmanBen.Themarketiswaitingforyourdecision,moreprecisely,yourearlychristmasgift--theratecut.
Ifwehaveachoice,wecouldstrikeouttodayandtomorrowinthecalendarandfastforwardtotheWednesday.Yes,therearestilltradestobemade,but,overallthemarketisinasuspense.So,wecanforgetaboutbigup/downs.
Thatispreciselywhathappendtoday.Volumnislowacrosstheboard,thebigguysjustkeepthe...[阅读全文]
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Trick or Treat
(2007-10-28 13:04:39)
Thecomingweekisgoingtobeexciting,notbecauseoftheHalloween,butbecausewewillhaveFOMCmeetingonWendneday,anJobreportFriday.Therearealsosomeinterestingearningreportsaswell.
TherearesomedoubtsaboutlastFriday\'srallyandthehealthofthemarketheadingintothenewweek.Themainquestionswereaboutthevolumn,andhi/lolistonNASDAQ.Also,SEMIisthelaggardsagain,hittingthelowthatwehavenotseensincetheendofApril.So,whatwi...[阅读全文]
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Rumors Rule...
(2007-10-25 20:12:15)
WhenWallStreetneedsrumorstopushthemarketonewayortheother,youknowthathowsplitedtheviewstothefutureare.Basically,thebullsandbearsareinastalmate,Theytrytouseanythingtogainanupperhand.Basedonthereactionstotherumorsinthelasttwodays,wemayconcludethatthereareprobablyjustalittlemorebullsthanbears,atleastfornow.
Yesterday,whenDOWwasdown200points,therumoraboutanemergencyratecutsavethedayandweprobablykno...[阅读全文]
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The Magic Moment of Bull
(2007-10-24 18:48:26)
Foramoment,IthoughtIwaswatchingthegreatescapebyHoudini.
Intheearlygoing,ItlooksliketheBearfinallyhaditsacttogether.Justforoneday,itisreadytoslaythatdie-hardBulllikeamatador.Yetagain,somehow,somewhere,thebullsommonedupthecourage,fightingbackbravelyandescapethedaywithminimumdamage.
Myhatsofftothosebuyatdip.Eitheryouarerealgeninuesorextremelylucky.Eitherway,congraduationisintheorder.
Seem...[阅读全文]
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Will the rally be sustainable ?
(2007-10-23 19:46:15)
BearorBull,thatisthequestion?
Obviously,therearealotofbullishnesstodaythankstotheearningsfromappleandamericanexpress.Forthetimebeing,techisbull'sonlyhopeasevidencedbytheNASDAQclosetoitshighinquitesometime.Asmatteroffact,outofalltheindexes,onlyNASDAQlooksdecent.
However,thequestionsremain.
Istechstrongenough?therearesoftspotsinthetechaswell,TXNlooksbadintheirearning,andSMHhasbeenthelagg...[阅读全文]
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Better Than Friday
(2007-10-22 19:01:19)
WhenMarketfollowupabiggainwithasmallloss,almostallofthecommentatorssaythatisgood.Afteragoodday,profittakingisexpected.Butwhenmarketfollowupabiglosswithasmallgain,everyoneisrelieved.Howso?Iwonder.FromBear\'spointofview,shouldn\'talittlebounceisexpectedafterabiglosstoo?
WhathaschangedbetweenTodayandFriday?
Theonlythingstrikesmethismorningisthattherearepalpalablefearatthetheopenning,Itlooksli...[阅读全文]
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Spector of 20 Years Old
(2007-10-21 15:57:47)
ItisonlyfittingthattheBearswoninthedayofignominy.Afterall,whatcouldserveasabetterremindertotraders,experiencedandnoviceallalike,thatthemarketisnotwithoutrisks,andthattheroadtothesucessisfullofperils.
So,theoldwoundreopenedandnightmareenacted,buthowmuchistheconcidenceandhowmuchisfundamentallydriven?

Nodoubt,thedismayearningfromcat,3mandhoneywlllcontributemostlytotheFriday'sdeclines.Iti...[阅读全文]
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The stubborn Bull
(2007-10-18 18:58:07)
TheheadlinenewsisthattheDOWhasbeendown4daysinarow,thatprobablyhasnothappenedforsometime,butthingsaremuchbetterthantheheadlinenewssuggested.Eventhoughvolatilitywasveryalivetoday,ithasmoretodowithshakingoutweakhandthananythingelse.
Asobservedbefore,ifthemarketriseamidaslewofbadnews,normally,itmeansthatthetroublesarealreadybehindus,themarkethasdiscountedallthosebadnews.Thesamecanbesaidwhenthemark...[阅读全文]
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