博文
calming effect
(2007-12-13 19:18:45)
Whenthemoodissogloomy,alittlebitupriseinthemarketgoesalongway.itcancalmthemarket,anditcanpersuadethoseundecidedtojumpin.
Especiallyinadaywhentheinflationdatawasnotsogreat.
Thebearandbullhadchosenagoodplacetowagethebattle.Ifwecannotholdon50daysMA,themarketcoulddroptotheAugustlowagain,andifwecanholdandgoup,wemaysee13800forDOWand1520forSPYinashortfewsessions.
Accordingtonewsmedia,thereare...[阅读全文]
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FED's about face
(2007-12-12 19:12:54)
TheFEDknewimmediatelythatitsdecisiontocut25bpswasamistake.however,beingacentralbank,astatelyinstitution,itcannotsimplysaywearesorrywewerewrong,let\'sforgettheannocementwejustmadeandlet\'sstartanew.
So,theyusedrumorsandleakstoquiettheircritics.ThefirstthingyoureadfromWSJthismorningwashowFEDisgoingtousecreativewaystoinjectthefundsintothefinancialmarket.plus,theycouldcutdiscountratewithoutFOMCmee...[阅读全文]
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Bye Bye, Santa...
(2007-12-11 19:58:55)
WhenChristmasdidnotbringthegiftthemarketwanted,Mr.Market,likeaspoiledchild,turnedtocrying...
Well,itisasurprisethatwefeared,notonlyonthecut,25bpsvs.50bpsdiscountrate,butalsothestatementafterwords.ItseemsthatFEDdoesnotknowwhattodonext,notonlydoesitworryslowdownofeconomy,butalsoconcernswithinflationaswell.
IhaveneverheardsomuchcritismtotheFEDasuniformlyastoday,andfromalmosteverycornersofinve...[阅读全文]
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The Bull's Assertiveness
(2007-12-10 19:40:47)
Whatadayitwas!
itwasaforthupdayforthemarket.ifwehadnotconsistantlybeenremindedofsubprimewritedownsfrommajorbanks-inbillions,we\'dthoughtwearebacktothela-lalandofyear2000.
Thereasonsfortheuprise,accordingtonewsmedia,arebecausetherescueactionbySingaporeGovernmenttoUBS,andthegoodsalenumberfromMcDonald.ButwithabigdecisionfromFED,itishardtoimaginethattraderspushedthemarkethigherwithoutthinkingo...[阅读全文]
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A week needs a lot of caution ?
(2007-12-09 18:58:05)
Aftertwoconsectivedays\'gainandcomesupfacingits50dayMA,themarkettookabreathFriday.Undernomalcircustance,itshouldbeconsideredagoodthing.however,thistime,itcomestooclosetotheFEDdecision,so,itishardtotellwhetheritisthemarketthatisintheworking,or,peopletooknoactionuntilthedirectionofFEDcouldbecameclearer.
Giventhemarketactionwaslargelynewsdrivenlately,theTuesday\'sFeddecisionloomsevenlarger.
I...[阅读全文]
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12-06-2007
(2007-12-06 18:46:22)
TheDOW,QQQQ,andSPYareallcometothe50dayMA,so,let'sseehowitgoestomorrow.ifitholdsthenamimirallywillform.
$VIXisdowntoasafezone
ARD
ATW,allthewayto94andbetween84and94?
FSTR,breakout?
GME.
HMSY,bouncefromema(20),retouchBBagain,twowaytotrade,backtoSMAorMCADbreakout
INFA,breakout...
MCRS..breakoutwatch
PFWD
QGEN
SKIL
SLT
TKC
SCI
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Bull is vindicated
(2007-12-05 19:17:02)
AnupdayinthemarketwinsalotofBullconverts,onlyhopeGodcoulddemonstratesomeofHispower,then,thechurchwillbefilledwithworshipers:)--justsomeidlethoughts.
Today\'sgainhasearsedtheaccumulativelossoflasttwodays,makingtheweekquitepromising.Thebiggestlessonswastohavesomebeliefinthedirectionwheremarketisheading(otherwise,youbetterstayinthesideline),especiallywhenmostmarketparticipatentsaresojittery.
...[阅读全文]
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it is the race of patient.
(2007-12-04 18:19:23)

Twodayinarow,themarketisinaholdingpattern.Obviously,thebullisinnohurrytobuyandBearhasnotmusteredenoughstrengthtoclampbullsdown.
Intermsofmomentum,Thebullstillhasanupperhand.Likewhathappenedthissummer,despitealotofnegativenewsexposures(today,NOk,creditetc),theBullsomehowcanescapetheslaughterofshortsellersandbears,youhavetogivethecredittothebullsandyouhavetoadmiretheresilenceofthebulls.
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nothing changed
(2007-12-03 19:13:41)
Itwasadownday,moreprecisely,itwasanindecisivedayforthemostpart,onlybeforetheendoftheclosingbell,eitherthebull(withanitchfiger:))decidedtopocketthegainoflastweek,orthebeardecidetogamblefortomorrow.Butnothingischangedintermsoftheneartermtrend.
1.Itisexpectedafterarapidriseofthelastweek.itissaidthatthelastweekgainwasthebestweekin3years(?).eveninthestrongbullmarket,marketstumbleonceawhile,so,there...[阅读全文]
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A new month, a renewed hope
(2007-12-02 19:34:29)
Finally,anewmonthisdawnonus.
Withtherallyoflastweek,Decemberoffersalotofhopes,atleastforthefirstpartofthemonth.
Fundamentally,wehaveacommittedFEDtocutrate,thisisalmostadonedealbasedonthespeechesfromthechairmanandvicechairman.Bothofthememphasisedtheflexibilityfortherate.Also,Fed\'sforcastsaidtheeconomyisslowandtheinflationriskislow.
Technically,atemporarybottomisfound.ALmostallthemajori...[阅读全文]
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