From:Melduke'sBlogPage8-30-07
AccordingtoBloomberg,"Standard&Poor'ssaidbusinessconditionsforsecuritiesfirmsareworsethaninthesecondhalfof1998andrevenuefrominvestmentbankingandtradingcouldfall47percentinthefinalsixmonthsofthisyear."
HenryTo:"Approximately90%ofallsubprimemortgagesthatwereoriginatedfrom2004to2006willbeeventuallysubjectedtoresets-withapeakofsometimeinthespringofnextyear.Giv...[
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theAssetBackedCommercialPaperisalmostto
thepointofbeingbasicallydefunctandthisisvery
timelyastomorrowwillbethe30thofthemonth
andtwicethepaperthatthemarkethasbeenable
torollisdue.Thereisahighchanceitmaynotget
rolled.Thisisessentiallytellingusthatbanksdo
nothavefaithineachothers'collateral.Thisisno
smallmarketandtomenosmallissueforifbanks
don'ttrusteachotherscollatera...[
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Heardtodaythatthe5largestbrokers..WalterBearkite
NEW8/30/20076:02:32PM and3largestbanksintheUScombinedhaveover$4trillioninderivativesmarkedtoMODELwithessentiallynomarkettotradein.Thisis10timestotalequity.Thislackofliquiditywhichiscontributingtothehousingcrisisiscreatingawallofdeflationwhichwillhavetobemetwithratecutsandamountainofne...[
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Thursday,August30,2007CommercialPaperMarketStillinDistressBloombergtellsusthatthecommercialpapermarketisshrinkingrapidly.
Thisisamoreseriousissuethanmightappear.Commercialpaperisanimportant,ifnotthemostimportant,sourceofshort-termfundingforsizablecorporations,mainlybecauseit'scheapandflexible.Theycanreadingadjusttheamountoutstandingtoreflectchangesintheirneedforcash.
WhenCPmatures,andaniss...[
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BenBernankeSpeechtoFedMembersatJacksonHole:
Thankyouforyourtimethismorningtoconsidermyremarks.Sincetimeisshort,andyouallwanttogetblinddrunkandfillyourfatjowlswithpate',I'llkeepthisspeechbrief.
WeattheFedbelievetherisksofinflationarewellcontained...ohscrewit.Lookfolks,we'rescroomed.SCROOMED,Itellya!!!.Andthere'snothingmyfellowold,whitePolitburomembersorIcandoaboutit.
Now,luckilyfor...[
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Washington,D.C.–EconomicanalystswereabuzzMondayfollowingthereleaseofFebruary'sLaborDepartmentfigures,whichshowedtheunemploymentrateforhotyoungwomenintheU.S.holdingsteadyatzeropercentforthe302ndmonthinarow.
"Whatthesefiguressayisthatifyou'relookingforworkinAmericarightnow,you'llhavenoproblemfindingit-aslongasyou'reatotallysmokin'hotyoungchick,thatis,"seniorU.S.economistCaryLeaheysaidinatelevis...[
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Thursday,August30,2007
EastForIncome,WestForWealth(andDow100.000)
...."Thediehasbeencast:TheEconomyofTheEastisbasedonlaborincomeandTheEconomyofTheWestisassetwealth.Andjustasitwasunthinkableinyearspastforincomestogodowninanygivenyear,itisnowabsoluteanathemaforassetpricestodrop.Itisnotonlyareasonofnationalimportance,butofglobalbalance:weintheWestbuylotsoftheircheapgoods,theybuyourexpensiveas...[
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Using1971asadividinglinemaynotbecompletelyarbitrarybutsureseemstopresupposealmostpurelymonetaryroots,especiallywhenthedebt/capitalratiodoesn'tbeginitsrunupuntiltheearly1980sdoubleslump,arealturningpointforindustrialcapitalismintheU.S.
Theprocessoffallingrateofprofitanddeindustrializationhadbegunearlier,evenduringthe1960s,butthelatterdidnotbecomesopronounceduntilinterestrateswereusedtokilldoubl...[
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HowslumpinBayAreahousingmarketaffectsbuyersandsellersCarolynSaid,KellyZito,ChronicleStaffWritersMonday,August27,2007Sellingorbuyingahomeismorethanafinancialtransaction.It'samajorlifeevent,andoftenthegatewaytoasignificanttransition:startingafamily,retiring,transferringjobs,movingclosertorelatives.Withtherealestatemarketsofteningandmortgagesbecominghardertoget,manyhomebuyersandsellersarestymied,unab...[
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(ZT)
Ithinkthekeyturningpointwilloccurwhenexpectationsoftheaverageamericanfinallystartdeclining.Ihavealwaysbeenconservativemyselfandhaveneverbeenmuchinfluencedbythemarketing/advertisingmachinethathascometodominatetheamericanpysche.IkeepthinkingthatatsomepointtherestofAmericaisgoingtobeslappedinthefaceandwakeupfromthisfinancialstuportheyarewallowingin.Ialmostlosthopeinthiseverhappeningbut3-4wee...[
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