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Very likely’ Bitcoin cycle will continue in some form: Gemin

(2025-10-04 01:36:28) 下一个

The Bitcoin four-year cycle is driven more by human emotion and will likely continue to play out in some form, according to a crypto executive.

While Bitcoins four-year cycle may not play out exactly as it has in the past, that doesnt mean the concept is entirely dead, according to a crypto executive.

I think when it comes to the four-year cycle, the reality is that its very likely that well continue to see some form of a cycle, crypto exchange Geminis head of APAC region, Saad Ahmed, told Cointelegraph during a sit-down interview at Token2049 in Singapore.

It ultimately stems from people get really excited and overextend themselves, and then you kind of see a crash, and then it kind of corrects to an equilibrium, Ahmed said.

However, Ahmed saidgrowing institutional involvementin the crypto industry could help the market absorb some of the volatility. Youll see some of the volatility, kind of flag off, but youll still see some sort of a cycle, because ultimately, its driven by human emotion, Ahmed said.

The debate over whether the four-year cycle is still relevant to Bitcoin

BTC
$122,325

has been ongoing within the crypto industry recently.

On Aug. 21, cryptoanalytics company Glassnodesaid Bitcoins recent price action may still be tracking its historic four-year halving cycle.

October may mark Bitcoins cycle peak if patterns repeat

However, the deadlinefor Bitcoins cycle peakmay fall this month if past patterns hold, according to crypto analyst Rekt Capital.

In July, he said that ifthe cycle mirrors 2020, the market would likely peak in October, approximately 550 days after the April 2024 halving.

We have a very small sliver of time and price expansion left, Rekt said. However, Oct. 1 marked the beginning of Q4, historically Bitcoins strongest quarter since 2013, with an average return of 79.39%,accordingto CoinGlass.

It comes as Bitcoin surged 11.5% over the past seven days, climbing to $123,850 on Friday, just short of its $124,100 all-time high set on Aug. 14,accordingto CoinMarketCap.

Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougansaid on July 26he doesnt expect Bitcoins price to follow the cycle as it has in the past.

I bet 2026 is an up year, Hougansaid. I broadly think were in for a good few years, Houganadded.

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