金融评论：美国非农就业率与加薪

大千股坛：

”美国公布的失业率其实是有相当水分的，也不是市场上就业紧缺程度的真实反应。如果劳动市场强劲，为什么很多人没有获得加薪呢？”

 

天朝玉：

 

根据联邦储两天前的报告（见下），许多公司加薪了, 福利报酬也更慷慨了，但整体来说增长还是modest, 而且，各个联邦区也不一样。From May 30th Fed report:

 

“Employment and Wages

 

Employment rose at a modest to moderate rate across most Districts. Again, the Dallas District was the exception, where solid and widespread employment growth was reported. Labor market conditions remained tight across the country, and contacts continued to report difficulty filling positions across skill levels. Shortages of qualified workers were reported in various specialized trades and occupations, including truck drivers, sales personnel, carpenters, electricians, painters, and information technology professionals. Many firms responded to talent shortages by increasing wages as well as the generosity of their compensation packages. In the aggregate, however, wage increases remained modest in most Districts. Contacts in some Districts expected similar employment and wage gains in the coming months.”

 

Nonfarm payroll is one of the most important economic indicators compiled by Bureau of Labor Statistics. Many economists and statisticians and data are behind it. 如果这个都不信，还信什么呢？：）

 

至于为什么没有”很多人加薪”，首先，define “很多”, 其次，there is often adjustment delay, imperfections that keep demand and supply from equilibrium in the labor market, just as often happens in the stock market. 不奇怪 ～

 

上面提到的那个Fed Report, Fed FOMC committee members 就是根据这个报告而决定是否加息减息的，它有来自各个联邦区的经济情况信息，非常及时重要，我信。 至于唱空城计，制造假数据，这个有可能，但更多是在别的国家吧 ～