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如何TRADE

(2016-03-17 14:25:52) 下一个

言逆耳,希望有人能有所得。

borrowed from here:  http://bbs.wenxuecity.com/finance/3782956.html

1.趋势一旦形成,如果要做波段,只做单向(做空或者做多),一直做下去直到趋势改变。不要试图做双向两面赚钱,

因为仓位决定立场,会把自己弄成牛不牛熊不熊的怪物,浪费趋势,亏钱是必然的。

DUST has been in obvious down for a few days.  So the best is to short it (or buying NUGT) when DUST is in rebound high.

2.当对一个趋势有了初步判断,开始一定要控制仓位进行试仓。第一单没有盈利,绝不要加仓向下摊成本,也不要立刻

转变立场。耐心等一段时间一定会有清晰走势(牛,熊,猪,猴)。不要反复进出,进入一卖就涨,一买就跌的“股神

”状态。一天不交易,就觉得跟不上形势,这是个很难改的毛病,亏损之源。

For this point, even our master of Ceramic Baby, did not follow strictly.  When the first bullet was at a loss, should not double-down.  Instead, should have cut it immediately, as the trend is not up, as what you/he has wishfully thought.

3.TA一定用最简单的指标,不要在图上比画令人眼花缭乱的线线道道,除了误导自己没有任何好处。图上本无什么支持

和阻力位,画得线多了就有了。

This is really not very important, compared to 2.

4.盈利时找个没人的地方想想: 这次确实是水平不是运气?

Most of fellow member here probably won't have such opportunities in the whole trading career.  Sadly, this is truth.

5.最重要一点:加强纪律性,革命无不胜!道理都懂,一进场就幻想“这次不同”,那一切都是浮云了。

This is really the key.  For example, if following strict cut loss rule, most people's DUST position shall have been stopped out at ~9, ~10, or ~11.

 

Note:  1. from 60 min charts, it looks a like a 3 push-down pattern, and currently maybe DUST is near the end of the 2nd push-down, and after some possible rebound (maybe not), there is almost certain a 3rd push-down (on 60 min chart).  Also on 240/daily/weekly, more down is almost certain.  Suggestion is to short at DUST rebound high (by selling or buying NUGT).  Unfortnately from timing wise, Friday's closing shows DUST may stay here or much lower for more than just 1-2 weeks (as I talked about 2-3 days ago in a post here).  It might be possible for it to stay low until Mid-march, the FOMC meeting time.

2.  If the trend is not clear, just cut and stay watching.  The only trade I did this whole week was to buy uvxy at 37.xx on Monday and then sold around 42.xx on Tuesday, although I have been spent time studying and monitoring charts every day.

3. Best wishes everyone.  Hope you can study, and find the right way on your trading career, and realize your dream of financial freedom one day.

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