弄潮与交易

 摘自一洋人论坛的以弄潮喻交易的好文，可读性很高，原文如下：

I was teaching my kids how to surf this weekend and I found myself telling them things that have a lot of parallels to trading.
- If there's no waves (setups) be patient and enjoy the water and sun. A setup will come.
If not, then it wasn't meant to be (sit on hands day) or not a good spot (market).
Come back tomorrow or find another spot.
Don't try to make something of nothing.- After a lull (chop, quiet market) a new set of waves (setups, breakouts) will appear. Often, the first wave is not the best wave.
Don't get too excited because you see an OK wave (false breakout) after you haven't seen any good ones at all. Often there is a better one behind it (look for confirmation).
- If you catch a wave ride it as long as you can, until you see yourself heading into shore, rocks, or other people (end of trend).
- Get into position and be ready to go for a wave so you're ready to take a good setup once it appears. (focus, attention)
- Once you see a wave you want, commit to it to getting on it. Paddle as fast as you can to get enough speed to go with the wave. (have a plan, preparation, confidence with entry, execute with precision)
- Don't try to catch the wave too early, make sure it has built up enough energy to carry you along (overly eager entries, wait for confirmation)
- Don't catch the wave too late or else you'll catch it on the top of the wave and it will throw you down into the seabed (buying tops or selling bottoms)
- Don't try to surf every wave (over trading), just the ones that look easy to catch and worth the energy required to catch and ride it (capital preservation, high probability trades)

[kizomba]

很有启发。多谢了。