大宗房地产交易 本季上升42.4％至68亿元

● 韩宝镇 报道

　　尽管欧元区债务危机挥之不去、全球经济前景黯淡，但我国的大宗房地产交易市场在最后一季的表现却比预期来得好，交易额上升42.4％至68亿元，而全年交易额至今已达285亿元。

　　第一太平戴维斯（Savills）发表的报告指出，这主要是因为办公空间的集体收购活动恢复，以及发展商在政府售地计划下踊跃收购地皮所致。

　　报告指出，在2011年，私人和政府分别占总大宗房地产交易（investment sales）的55.9％和44.1％。

　　此外，各领域在总交易额所占比重，依次是商业37％（25亿2000万元）、住宅36.7％（25亿元）和工业12.3％（8亿3800万元）。

　　根据报告，商业房地产交易额从今年第三季的9亿9500万元，增加至今年第四季的25亿2000万元，增幅达153.1％。

　　第四季有许多中央商业区的大厦易主，其中最大手笔的交易是售出87.5％股份的海洋金融中心（Ocean Financial Centre），交易额达15亿7000万元。另外，还有罗敏申中心（Robinson Centre）的2亿9300万元，以及鸿业大厦（Commerce Point）和菲立街一号（One Phillip Street，）的2亿8300万元（总和）。

　　紧跟在后是住宅房地产交易额，在今年第四季达到25亿元。政府住宅方面季度环比跃升50.3％，这主要是因政府发出更多土地所致；私人住宅则下跌27％，反映了全球经济动荡和股市波动中市场情绪的低落。

　　工业房地产交易额季度环比下降36.8％，主要是上一季的交易额较高造成的。工业地产投资活动保持强韧，房地产投资信托基金（REITs）、终端使用者和投资者继续表现出他们对收购工业房地产的兴趣。

　　展望方面，报告指出，全球与本地经济趋软，将无可避免地动摇市场信心。政府第五轮房屋降温措施可能导致潜在买家持观望态度。尽管下来几个季度大宗房地产交易市场可能放缓，但新加坡还是能够吸引到钟情于亚洲房地产的投资者。此外，房屋降温措施可能把投资者转向其他领域。　

报告的其他研究结果还包括：

　　·工业空间租金在第四季持稳，工厂和货仓空间租金介于每月每平方英尺1.7元和2.1元；高科技空间则是每月每平方英尺3.6元至4元。资本价值预料超越2008年第三季巅峰，底层单位达31％，而较高楼层单位则达29％。租金预料在明年稳定下来。

　　·黄金乌节地带和市区外的零售店面租金则微升1％，平均租金分别是每月35.5元和30.8元。乌节路店面租金预料在明年下滑3％，而市区外则上涨3％。

　　·办公室的租赁活动继续受需求趋软和谨慎市场情绪所抑制，A级别办公空间租金和资本价值，分别下降1.5％和3.8％。A级别办公空间租金明年预料下跌15％。

　　·住宅方面，基于宏观经济情况恶劣和政府推出新一轮房屋降温措施，销售预料将放缓。明年，新推出大众化市场房地产价格可能滑落5％，而高档非有地则可能下跌10％。由于更多住宅完工和外来专业人士预算缩减，租金料下调5％。

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Housing market to decline next year

Dec 20, 2011 - PropertyGuru.com.sg
 

The threat of a global economic double-dip and additional property cooling measures in Singapore may result in a decline of buying interest in the next six months, according to latest residential market report by Savills.

This year, Savills expects new home sales (excluding executive condominiums) to hover between 15,000 units and 15,500 units, a slight decline from last year’s record of 16,292 units.

On the other hand, leasing volume is expected to rise further as more foreigners shift from buying to renting homes.

Due to the rise of expatriates relocating to Singapore for job opportunities, leasing demand is expected to reach between 10,000 and 10,500 transactions in Q4.

Savills expects total leasing volume to reach a record high of between 44,000 and 45,500 transactions this year.

According to its data, prices of super-luxury and high-end homes are expected to remain stable in Q4, after a decline in the previous quarter.

The average unit price for non-landed high-end private homes rose marginally by one percent to S$2,268 psf in Q4, while the average price for super-luxury residential properties dropped marginally by 0.2 percent to S$3,661 psf in the same period.

Prices for new mass-market non-landed homes may grow by one percent in Q4 2011.

Meanwhile, after factoring in several creative marketing packages, prices of new mass-market homes could fall five percent for the whole of next year, while prices of high-end non-landed homes may slip by 10 percent.

In addition, rents may correct by five percent next year as a result of more completed homes in the coming months and shrinking expatriate residential budgets.

Commercial property investment sales shoot up by 153%

Dec 20, 2011 - CommercialGuru.com.sg

Property investment sales in Singapore grew 42.4 percent to S$6.8 billion in the fourth quarter of this year, up from S$4.8 billion in the previous quarter, according to Savills.

The consultancy estimates that the total value could hover between S$7 billion and S$7.2 billion in Q4, which brings the full-year figure to approximately S$29 billion.

The private sector comprised a larger share of total investment sales at 59.6 percent (S$4.1 billion) in Q4 2011, while the public sector comprised 40.4 percent (S$2.7 billion).

For the full year 2011, the private sector accounted for 55.9 percent of total investment sales, while the public sector accounted for 44.1 percent.

The commercial sector emerged as the star performer for the quarter, with a 37 percent share in total investment sales. It rose by 153.1 percent quarter-on-quarter from S$995 million in Q3 2011 to S$2.52 billion in Q4 2011.

“The notable transactions include the sale of an 87.5 percent share in Ocean Financial Centre (S$1.57 billion), Robinson Centre (S$293 million), and Commerce Point and One Phillip Street (S$283million),” said the report.

Meanwhile, industrial investment sales accounted for 12.3 percent of total investment transactions, down 36.8 percent to S$838 million in Q4, from S$1.3 billion in the previous quarter.

“The drop is partly due to the higher base in Q3. Investment activity in industrial properties remained resilient as S-REITs, end users and investors continued to show their interest in acquiring industrial properties,” it said.