白银分析这篇文章很全面。中国就白银从1月1日实现管制。
(2025-12-29 06:45:32)
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AI-能源 -太阳能-白银息息相关。
作者短期担忧白银价格看空,长期仍然有看多。
“Bottom Line
The bear case is real in the short term. Tax selling, margins, dollar—these can hit you.
But the structure underneath:
London backwardation at multi-decade extremes
Asia paying $10-14 premiums
China export restrictions starting in 5 days
Solar demand inelastic to $134
Copper substitution takes 4 years minimum
72% of supply is byproduct (can’t just “mine more”)
Specs not crowded, ETFs accumulating metal, vol repriced
This is where it’s fun.
This is where it’s scary.”