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让开通道给石油先...

(2007-12-19 13:53:18) 下一个
让开通道给石油先...

尽管我们一直在空,次在打击...

但建议暂时离场观望, 至少今夜不要打击她...

原因:

法国喜欢闹革命..提炼厂有工人罢工...尽管消息说解决了...但按他们性格..定会多干几天, 而且多几天假期在圣诞节左右, 不好吗?

还有, 我们一直以来关注美国原油库存...

原本预期也就少个, 160-185万桶, 却少了780万桶..

请注意, 这是从05年2月以来最低石油储备..

所以强烈建议:

1> 让开通道...不要打击...

2> 老一个战术, 换换也好...

3> 激进的..可以试探做多...

4> 9450以后寻找介入点试探..(如果没有更多牛盘消息)

5> 盯紧股市...经济不好...对石油也是打击..包括法国工运...也是经济不好的体现...市场是圆的..多角度看看...等待战机..别打的顺手..为打而打就没意思了...利润是第一选择...

附录篇文章..

Oil rises first day in five as U.S. inventories slump

By Moming Zhou & Polya Lesova, MarketWatch
Last update: 4:07 p.m. EST Dec. 19, 2007Print E-mail RSS Disable Live Quotes
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Crude-oil futures gained for the first time in five consecutive sessions, up more than $1 after data showed crude inventories in the U.S. slumped more than expected in the latest week to their lowest level in nearly three years.
Crude oil for February delivery ended the session up $1.16, or 1.3%, at $91.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Crude earlier rose to an intraday high of $92.35.
U.S. crude inventories fell by 7.6 million barrels to 296.9 million barrels in the week ending Dec. 14, the lowest since February 2005, the Energy Information Administration reported. Analysts at Platts, an energy information provider owned by the McGraw-Hill Cos., were expecting a drop of 1.8 million barrels.
This is the fifth straight week that the U.S., which consumes nearly a quarter of the world\'s oil production, saw its crude inventories drop. Stockpiles have fallen nearly 20 million barrels since the week ending Nov. 9, EIA data showed.
The report was bullish on crude prices, said James Williams, an economist at energy research firm WTRG Economics. A few months ago, this would have moved prices more than $3. The fact that oil prices haven\'t moved so much is another indication that we may have entered a bear market for oil. Crude oil is trading more on economic outlook than on week-to-week EIA data.
Crude had dropped nearly $4 in the past four sessions on worries that the credit crunch could drag the U.S. economy into recession, reducing oil demand from the world\'s largest oil consumer.
Edward Meir, an analyst at futures brokerage MF Global, said in a research note that oil prices are expected to remain stuck between the $87-$94 band for the time being.
Cold weather concerns and the general decline in stock levels should provide support, while the upside will be reined in by worries about the U.S. growth outlook and increasingly restrictive monetary polices being pursued by the Chinese, Meir said.
China is a major oil consumer, and its government has been taking steps to prevent its economy from overheating.
Meir also said liquidity will begin to dry up by Friday as next week\'s Christmas holiday approaches.
U.S. inventories
Sliding imports contributed to the inventories slump. U.S. crude-oil imports averaged 9.1 million barrels per day last week, down 952,000 barrels per day from the previous week, EIA reported.
At 296.9 million barrels, U.S. crude-oil inventories are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year, EIA reported.
EIA also reported crude inventories in Cushing, Okla., the delivery point for crude traded on the Nymex, rose for a fifth week, up 100,000 barrels to 17.4 million barrels.
On the petroleum products side, U.S. motor gasoline inventories increased by 3 million barrels to 205.2 million barrels last week, but were in the lower half of the average range. Distillate supplies, which include heating oil and diesel, decreased by 2.1 million barrels to 129.4 million barrels, and were in the lower half of the average range for this time of year.
Analysts surveyed by Platts forecast gasoline stocks rose by 1.2 million barrels and distillate supplies fell by 550,000 barrels.
U.S. refineries operated at 87.8% of their operable capacity last week, down 1% from the previous week\'s 88.8%, EIA reported.
In a separate report released at the same time, the American Petroleum Institute reported U.S. crude inventories fell by 8.5 million barrels to 297.5 million barrels in the week ending Dec. 14, according to Moody\'s Economy.com.
Distillate stocks fell by 1.9 million barrels to 131.7 million barrels in the same period, while gasoline stocks rose by 2.9 million barrels to 208.4 million barrels, the API reported.
Also on Nymex on Wednesday, January reformulated gasoline gained 2.76 cents at $2.3319 a gallon and January heating oil edged up 4.25 cent at $2.5979 a gallon.
January natural gas rose 3.8 cents at $7.179 per million British thermal units.
EIA will report U.S. natural gas inventories on Thursday. Analysts at research firm Global Insight are expecting inventories to have dropped by 129 billion cubic feet in the week ending Dec. 14.
Moming Zhou is a MarketWatch reporter, based in San Francisco.
Polya Lesova is a MarketWatch reporter based in New York.
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While some small energy scandals are under investigation by Congress, the big enchilada is the strategic oil reserve, which may have been strategically manipulated to drive up oil prices. The key to understanding this mani...

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