大家交易小心...近期回动荡
(2007-05-24 05:41:03)
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大家交易小心...近期回动荡
来不及写中文的...英文吧...
为何动荡...股市高盘, 利息隐患...石油价格...金银冷淡...农物在田...青苗始发...美元走强..货币争风...
我今天午后出差...至30方返...
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但恐不能及时答复...
谢谢
JUL SOYBEANS Resist: 802-803, 807 1/2, 820+/- ST Trend: Up
(800 1/2) Supprt: 793 3/4*, 790-787 1/2 Obj: None TRP: 776 1/2
Comment: The market is bullish with rallies challenging the last 801 3/4 swing high. A close over 801 3/4 should extend driving rallies near the February swing highs at 820+/-. However, Another setback around 800-803 hints for a struggling advance and we may see additional flagging / corrective days. A drop below Monday's outside day low at 787 1/2 cautions for deeper corrections to 780-776 1/2*. A close under 776 1/2* signals a bear turnover for a drop to 761 3/4* support.
JUN B-POUND Resist: 19871*+/-, 19954*-94 ST Trend: Sdwys
(19858) Supprt: 19819, 19756*, 197-19650 Obj: None TRP: 19871
Comment: Yesterday's thrust up from down trending action puts the market back against a key 19871* resistance point, balanced between short term bull and bear trend forces. A close over 19871* should spark stronger secondary rallies to test another 19954* resistance level. A close over 19954* will send moves back to the 20128 swing high. If trade is checked by 19871*, look for a slip back inside yesterday's upturn, but a close under 19756* is needed to send another downswing against 197-19650.
JUN CANADIAN$ Resist: 9257?, 9300-25? ST Trend: Up
(9248) Supprt: 9202-9190, 9140*-25 Obj: 9310 TRP: 9140
Comment: The market is bullish and the recent acceleration to new highs creates potential for moves to 9300-25 as well as chances for a blow off over the next couple weeks. Yesterday's outside bull day favors rallies and close over 9260 should fuel rallies the next 1-2 days to 9310. We should see any minor corrective dips stay over yesterday's low to maintain strong upside forces. A drop under 9190 alerts for setbacks. A close under 9140* cautions for a reversal and multi-day correction to 9074*.
JUN EURO Resist: 13512-13520, 13556*, 13605* ST Trend: Sdwys/Down
(13471) Supprt: 13440-, 13422-13409, 13360 Obj: 13422? TRP: 13605
Comment: The market is short term negative and targets a slide to 13422 with a chance for a larger washout spike to 13360. Despite yesterday's rebound trade is positioned for follow through selloffs today and sustained action under 13440- will promote selloffs to 13422-. Any minor corrective action contained inside Monday's range will quickly flag for selloffs. A close over 13556* voids bear forces, but a close over 13605* is needed to provoke a trend turn back to higher prices.
JUN J-YEN Resist: 8279, 8295, 8344*, 8381* ST Trend: Down
(8247) Supprt: 8241, 8150-? Obj: 8241 ACHD TRP: 8381
Comment: The market is bearish, extending the current washout slide to test old weekly chart bottoming levels. Suspect a fight to hold and bounce off old weekly low at 8241. Any corrective rebounds contained under 8344* will retain bear forces. A close over 8381* is needed to highlight a bottoming turn into a sustained correction phase. A close under 8241 warns for a washout spike to find an extreme in the down trend at 8150-.
JUN SWISS Resist: 8182-86, 8216*-22* ST Trend: Down
(8163) Supprt: 8146-, 8133-28, 8100-8070 Obj: 8099- TRP: 8222
Comment: The market is bearish with the current sliding declines alerting for a larger unfolding washout, testing basing levels from Jan-February. A close under 8140 will help send a spike to 8099-. Any minor corrections contained by last Friday's inside congestion day high will quickly flag for selloffs. A close over 8186 is near term positive for a climb around 8200+, but a close over 8216* is needed to provoke a reversing recovery swing back to 8255+.
JUN AUSSIE$ Resist: 8251-8260, 8280*, 8315+ ST Trend: Sdwys/Down
(8232) Supprt: 8187-8180, 8160- Obj: None TRP: 8280
Comment: The market is showing topping trade action, suggesting pressured moves against the last swing low, trying to force a larger turnover to lower levels. Trade is poised for selling to attack the 8160 swing low and holds potential for a larger downswing near 8110. A close under 8160- is bearish. Any secondary rallies contained under 8280* will flag to setup for selloffs. A close over 8280* is needed to spark a drive to challenge recent swing highs.
JUN US DOLLAR Resist: 8238-8250, 8280-8288 ST Trend: Sdwys/Up
(8222) Supprt: 8203, 8190*, 8162* Obj: 8280+ TRP: 8162
Comment: The market remains in a friendly trend, moving sideways higher out of rising flagging action, highlighting a stronger retracement run to 8250/8280. Stable 8229+ will help promote rallies past yesterday's high. A close back over Wednesday's reversal high will boost rallies into the end of the week. Any minor corrections should hold 8200-8190* to keep bull forces. A slip under 8190* is negative and could trigger a reactionary selloff to 8162* support.
DEC EURODOLLAR Resist: 9481-82, 9485, 94885* ST Trend: Sdwys/Down
(9477) Supprt: 94745, 9471?, 9466? Obj: None TRP: 9494
Comment: The market remains bearish with sliding moves in the prevailing down trend calling for an attack against the 94745 January swing low. A close under 94745 is bearish and should add a washout to 9470-. If selloffs hold off the old 94745 spike low, then we may see a recovery back to congestion in the low 9480's. A close over 94885* stops the bear trend, but a close over 9494* is needed to secure a bottoming turn to spark retracements back against the last swing high at 9500-06.
JUN S&P Resist: 153135, 153350-153570, 1540 ST Trend: Up
(152550) Supprt: 152325, 152010*, 151535* Obj: None TRP: 151120
Comment: The market is bullish, but struggling around the 1530 swing target level. A breakout close over 153320 should continue aggressive rallies to 1540+. However, be on guard for pullbacks from 1530 with any further reluctance trying to extend over 1530+. A slip under 1523 could start a slip to test support levels at 152010* and 151535*. A close under 151535* hurts the bull alignment and cautions for harder setbacks, but only a close under 151120* highlights a peaking turnover to 149610-.
JUN GOLD Resist: 664-66510, 66910*-67060 ST Trend: Down
(66260) Supprt: 658-65640, 65410, 650- Obj: 64880? TRP: 67830
Comment: The market is bearish, forming a bear flag over the past 4 days while trying to hold off the 65690 target level. Near term trade may yet correction with sideways higher congestion in the low 660's. A close over 66910* is needed to start a bullish turn and stronger retracement phase. Trade contained below 66910* today will promote a downturn by Fri-Monday. A drop off under 65640 should trigger fresh selling. A close under 65410 is bearish for an extension into the 650-640 range.
JUL SILVER Resist: 13166-1320, 13348* ST Trend: Down
(13105) Supprt: 1293, 1275-, 1265-12325 Obj: 1275- TRP: 13348
Comment: The short term trend is down and this week's flagging trade leaves the market poised for another drop off to test old swing lows under 1275-. Once declines reach below 1275-, be on guard for stalled declines that could start a reversing turn into a recovery phase. Current flagging retracements should struggle inside last Wednesday's downturn and further rallies contained below 1320- today should promote a roll off to lower levels. Only a close over 13348* marks a bottoming turn to 1350-1370.
JUL COPPER Resist: 33360, 33680, 342-34470* ST Trend: Down
(33005) Supprt: 32695*-32560*, 316-314 Obj: 310? TRP: 35815
Comment: The market shows a bear trend alignment, pressuring a secondary drop against objective / support points at 32695*-32560*. Be ready for continued pressured action today. A close under 32560* calls for additional washouts near 310. Near term trade may again try to rebound off 32695*-32560* and congest inside Tuesday's range for 1-2 days. A close over 34470* is needed to alert for a friendly turnaround and boost a multi-day retracement back up into the 350's.
JUL CRUDE OIL Resist: 6611, 6632, 6681, 6800+/- ST Trend: Sdwys/Up
(6551) Supprt: 6518-6504, 6477, 6417* Obj: 6800 TRP: 6417
Comment: Recent rallies highlight a bull upturn and signal for a drive to test around 6800+/- as well as the last swing highs. A close over 6710 is friendly and should motivate rallies to 6800. Tuesday's pullback cautions for defensive pressures and additional flagging consolidation today. A drop under 6475 calls for a multi-day drop back to 6417* support. If trade holds over Wednesday's low, bull forces should restart advances, but wait for the punch over 6710 to resume bull drives.